Ravioli, Prediction Markets & Debates

Will more than five U.S. school districts announce new teacher misconduct policies by the end of 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if six or more U.S. school districts publicly announce and implement new policies specifically addressing teacher misconduct by December 31, 2026. Announcements must be verifiable through official district press releases or reputable news sources.

This market resolves to Yes if Floyd Mayweather participates in a sanctioned professional boxing match that is not an exhibition bout by the end of December 31, 2026. Exhibition matches and any unsanctioned fights will not fulfill the criteria for this market.

Will OpenAI implement the 'Declaration of Humanity' guidelines by December 31, 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if OpenAI publicly announces the adoption and integration of all five main pillars of the 'Declaration of Humanity' guidelines by December 31, 2026. These pillars include maintaining human control, preventing the centralization of power, protecting personal freedom, ensuring corporate accountability under the law, and confirming AI safety before use. If no such announcement is made by this date, the market resolves to No.

Will Amazon maintain a higher quarterly revenue than Walmart for all quarters in 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if Amazon reports higher quarterly revenue than Walmart for every quarter in 2026. The comparison will be based on officially published earnings reports from both Amazon and Walmart.

This market resolves to Yes if the movie 'Doomsday', part of the Marvel Cinematic Universe, earns over $2 billion in worldwide box office revenue by January 31, 2027. The final data will be based on box office reporting sources such as Box Office Mojo.

This market resolves to 'Yes' if the 'With Music … with Love' event, featuring clarinetist Peter Bianca and a world premiere of Ben Stevenson’s Huron Suite, is reported as sold out before the event date of February 4, 2027.

This market resolves to Yes if Chevrolet's official 250th anniversary campaign includes a commercial aired during the Super Bowl scheduled for February 7, 2027. Any official announcement by Chevrolet or confirmation from the NFL that Chevy will broadcast a campaign-related ad during the Super Bowl constitutes a Yes resolution. If no such ad is aired or officially confirmed, the market resolves to No.