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Will the James Webb Space Telescope discover a previously unknown exoplanet by the end of 2026?

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About this market

This market resolves to Yes if NASA or a recognized scientific body officially announces the discovery of a previously unknown exoplanet by the James Webb Space Telescope by December 31, 2026. The discovery must be acknowledged through official publications or announcements.

Rules

  • Market closes at 12/31/2026.
  • Logic weighted resolution applies.

Comments & Analysis

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vir1/29/2026
Logic: 50/100

been long enough, nothing has changed

Logic Analysis
Fact Check(25%)
50/100
No Fallacies(25%)
60/100
Relevance(25%)
40/100
Logic/Emotion(25%)
50/100

Rationale:The comment lacks specific factual content and does not provide evidence or context for the claim that 'nothing has changed.' It contains a potential fallacy of assuming that past inaction predicts future outcomes without considering new developments. The comment is only partially relevant as it does not directly address the market question or factors influencing the discovery of exoplanets by the James Webb Space Telescope. The statement is more emotional than logical, lacking a reasoned argument.

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Will the James Webb Space Telescope discover a previously unknown exoplanet by the end of 2026?

Cents
How many cents?
¢
You'll get18.69% of a share
Avg price54¢/share
Trading fee1¢
You'll spend10¢
If you win19¢
Your profit+9¢

Will the James Webb Space Telescope discover a previously unknown exoplanet by the end of 2026?

Cents
How many cents?
¢
You'll get18.69% of a share
Avg price54¢/share
Trading fee1¢
You'll spend10¢
If you win19¢
Your profit+9¢