Ravioli, Prediction Markets & Debates
Crypto Markets
Will Bitcoin reach a new all-time high of $69,000 or above by August 31, 2026?
Will there be a publicly disclosed quantum-related cryptographic breach in the US by August 31, 2026?
Will Pepeto be listed on a top 5 cryptocurrency exchange by September 30, 2026?
This market resolves to Yes if Donald Trump or a Trump-affiliated organization officially announces the launch of a new cryptocurrency token on or before September 30, 2026. To qualify, the announcement must be made through an official Trump Organization communication channel (e.g., press release, social media, or official website) or in a publicly available financial disclosure. The token must be distinct from any pre-existing tokens associated with Trump or his businesses, such as $TRUMP. External independent reporting is not sufficient unless corroborated by official Trump Organization communication.
This market resolves to Yes if Kraken, a cryptocurrency exchange, is officially granted a full European banking license by September 30, 2026. Confirmation must be reported by an official regulatory entity, Kraken itself, or credible global news outlets. If no such confirmation is available by the close date, the market resolves to No.
Will a U.S. federal cryptocurrency market structure bill be passed by September 2026?
Will Mutuum Finance (MUTM) reach Phase 10 pricing tier by the end of 2026?
This market resolves to Yes if the price of Bitcoin (BTC) closes above $80,000 on any major cryptocurrency exchange on December 31, 2026. The closing price will be determined based on the last recorded price on Coinbase or Binance at 23:59 UTC on that date.
This market resolves to Yes if, according to CoinMarketCap or a comparable cryptocurrency market data provider, the total market capitalization of Bitcoin exceeds $1.5 trillion at any point before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC. Market data will be verified by multiple reputable sources for accuracy.
This market resolves to Yes if the total value of crypto-backed mortgages (using Bitcoin or USDC as collateral) issued by Better Home & Finance, tied to Fannie Mae-backed mortgages, exceeds $100 million by December 31, 2026. Verification will be based on official financial reports or statements released by Better Home & Finance or reputable financial news sources.
This market resolves to Yes if by December 31, 2026, there is a publicly acknowledged event where Bitcoin's cryptographic security is verified as compromised by quantum computing technology.
This market resolves to Yes if the price of 1 Bitcoin reaches $100,000 or higher at any point on or before December 31, 2026. The price will be verified using CoinMarketCap's Bitcoin price index.
Will the global crypto market cap recover to $4 trillion by the end of 2026?
This market resolves to Yes if the daily closing price of Bitcoin (BTC) falls below $50,000 on any respected crypto exchange by December 31, 2026. The resolution source will be CoinGecko, CoinMarketCap, or another major exchange as necessary.
Will TeraWulf maintain its 'Treasury Holding' strategy until December 31, 2026?
This market resolves to Yes if the price of Bitcoin (BTC) reaches or exceeds $100,000 on any recognized exchange platform at any point before or on December 31, 2026, 23:59:59 UTC. This market resolves to No if it does not reach $100,000 by that time.
This market resolves to Yes if the price of Bitcoin reaches or surpasses $100,000 on any major cryptocurrency exchange by the end of December 31, 2026. Price verification will be based on data from recognized exchanges such as Coinbase, Binance, or Kraken.