Ravioli, Prediction Markets & Debates

Will Amazon acquire a major AI lab in 2026?

Automated predictive market for Tech sector.

This market resolves to Yes if by December 31, 2026, human brain cells on a chip, similar to those developed by Cortical Labs, can play the game Doom with performance metrics (e.g., completion time, accuracy, strategic decision-making) that are comparable to those of average human gamers, as determined by a verified and publicly available demonstration or study.

Will Apple's MacBook Pro feature a two-stack tandem OLED display by the end of 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if Apple officially releases a MacBook Pro model with a two-stack tandem OLED display before December 31, 2026. This confirmation must come directly from Apple through a press release, official product announcement, or detailed product specifications on Apple's official website.

This market resolves to Yes if, by December 31, 2026, a company publicly announces and demonstrates a fully autonomous AI-driven kitchen robot capable of preparing meals without human intervention. The announcement must be verifiable by major technology or science publications.

This market resolves to Yes if by December 31, 2026, NASA's Juno mission announces the discovery of a new feature in Jupiter's atmosphere through official NASA publications or press releases. The feature must be a previously unobserved characteristic or phenomenon distinct from existing knowledge.

This market resolves to Yes if by December 31, 2026, a major pharmaceutical company publicly announces the development of a new drug that involved the use of quantum chemistry software such as EXESS in its design or discovery. Confirmation must come from a press release or an equivalent formal announcement from the company.

This market resolves to Yes if a published report or announcement verifies that a quantum chemistry calculation has been performed significantly faster than previously recorded times, using a new or updated software package developed before the end of 2026. The resolution will be based on credible sources such as scientific publications, company press releases, or other authoritative announcements.

Will Alibaba's Zhenwu 810E AI chip be used by a non-Chinese company by December 31, 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if any company outside of China publicly announces the usage or deployment of Alibaba's T-Head Zhenwu 810E AI chip by December 31, 2026. The announcement must come from a reputable source or the company in question.

This market resolves to Yes if a major video game publisher publicly announces that a new game will feature entirely AI-generated content with no human involvement in its creation by December 31, 2026. The game must be backed by a well-known publisher such as EA, Ubisoft, or Activision, and the announcement must be verified by credible sources.

Automated predictive market for Politics sector.

Automated predictive market for Crypto sector.