Ravioli, Prediction Markets & Debates

World News Markets

58% chance

Will Andrew and Tristan Tate face formal charges in the U.S. by August 15, 2026?

Ends Aug 15

Will traffic through the Strait of Hormuz resume by August 31, 2026?

40%chance▼ 2 today
Ends Aug 31

Will the COP17 in Mongolia lead to a new international agreement on land restoration by August 31, 2026?

60%chance▼ 3 today
Ends Aug 31
60% chance

Will a significant diplomatic agreement be announced between Russia and North Korea by September 15, 2026?

Ends Sep 14

Will Iran conduct a cyberattack on US soil leading to significant infrastructure disruption by September 2026?

50%chance▼ 16 today
Ends Sep 30

Will the Strait of Bab el Mandeb remain blocked beyond September 30, 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if the Strait of Bab el Mandeb continues to be blocked by military forces or other disruptions related to the ongoing conflict beyond September 30, 2026. Verification will be based on credible news reports confirming whether the strait remains closed to commercial shipping.

55% chance

Will the UN Transforming Education Summit + 4 result in an announced funding increase by September 30, 2026?

40%chance▼ 20 today
Ends Sep 30

Will the Strait of Hormuz remain open for oil transport without any major disruptions by the end of 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if there are no major disruptions lasting more than a week that prevent oil tankers from navigating through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026. A major disruption is defined as a halt in tanker traffic due to conflict, military intervention, or sanctions fully obstructing passage.

45% chance