Markets
Explore and trade on all active prediction markets.
This market resolves to Yes if 15% or more of the Israeli companies listed on the Carbon Disclosure Project (CDP) receive a climate score in 2026. The evaluation will be based on the official CDP report published at the end of 2026.
This market resolves to Yes if any new documents not previously released, implicating Bill Gates in Jeffrey Epstein's criminal activities, are made publicly available by December 31, 2026. The documents should be officially acknowledged or reported by a reputable news source.
This market resolves to Yes if, by December 31, 2026, the Jordanian Parliament has officially announced that it will permanently cease to mention 'Israel' in its official discourse or records, as proposed by MP Abdul Nasser Khasawneh. Verification will be based on official statements or reports from reputable sources confirming the decision.
This market resolves to Yes if, by December 31, 2026, the U.S. government officially enacts legislation banning institutional investors from purchasing single-family homes. News reports and official government announcements will be used to resolve this market.
This market resolves to Yes if a published report or announcement verifies that a quantum chemistry calculation has been performed significantly faster than previously recorded times, using a new or updated software package developed before the end of 2026. The resolution will be based on credible sources such as scientific publications, company press releases, or other authoritative announcements.
This market resolves to Yes if, by December 31, 2026, the cost of semaglutide (brands including Wegovy and Ozempic) is available for purchase at below $10 per month in at least five low-income countries, as reported by a reputable source such as the World Health Organization or a major pharmaceutical company report.
This market resolves to Yes if the SEC publicly announces and implements new regulations specifically targeting cryptocurrencies linked to Trump-affiliated projects by December 31, 2026. Public announcements must come directly from the SEC through official channels. General cryptocurrency regulations that do not specifically mention Trump-linked projects will not qualify for a 'Yes' outcome.
This market resolves to Yes if a major scientific publisher publicly announces the adoption of a new automated system specifically designed to detect fraudulent or fake scientific papers by December 31, 2026. The announcement must come from a recognized scientific publishing house and include details about the system being used.
This market resolves to Yes if Revolut is officially granted a national bank charter in the United States by December 31, 2026, as reported by reputable news sources. A national bank charter would allow Revolut to operate across all 50 states in the US.
This market resolves to Yes if more than 25 significant mergers and acquisitions (M&A) deals are reported in the sports industry by December 31, 2026. A significant M&A deal is defined as a transaction that exceeds $100 million in reported value. The determination of the deal count will be based on official announcements and reports from reputable financial news sources by the end date.
This market resolves to Yes if there are at least 50,000 locations in Japan accepting cryptocurrency payments by December 31, 2026, as reported by a credible source such as a major financial news outlet or a market research report.
This market resolves to Yes if the UK Consumer Price Index (CPI) published by the Office for National Statistics indicates an inflation rate above 2.5% for any month between July and December 2026. Inflation rate is measured in terms of year-over-year percentage change. Official statistics on the UK government's website will be used for resolution.
This market resolves to Yes if India successfully produces and publicly announces the completion of its first domestically designed semiconductor chip by December 31, 2026. The chip must be entirely designed and fabricated within India as part of its electronics manufacturing initiative.
This market resolves to Yes if Greenpeace files for bankruptcy protection in the United States before December 31, 2026, as a direct consequence of the $345 million verdict against them finalized in the Dakota Access Pipeline case. Official bankruptcy filings must be reported by major news outlets or through legal documents. If no bankruptcy filing occurs by the end date, the market resolves to No.
This market resolves to Yes if Chubb announces and implements a significant workforce reduction, with developments directly linked to its AI strategy, by December 31, 2026. A significant reduction is defined as a publicly declared cut exceeding 10% of its global workforce.
This market resolves to Yes if more than 50% of the major U.S. hospitals have integrated AI-driven scribe tools into their workflow by December 31, 2026. The term 'major hospitals' refers to those with over 500 beds. Verification will be based on industry reports and announcements from major healthcare systems.
This market resolves to Yes if CoreWeave, Inc. is subject to new publicly reported allegations of securities fraud that surface after April 1, 2026, and before the market closes. The market closes without a 'Yes' resolution if no such reports surface by the resolution date.
This market resolves to Yes if OpenAI publicly announces the adoption and integration of all five main pillars of the 'Declaration of Humanity' guidelines by December 31, 2026. These pillars include maintaining human control, preventing the centralization of power, protecting personal freedom, ensuring corporate accountability under the law, and confirming AI safety before use. If no such announcement is made by this date, the market resolves to No.
This market resolves to Yes if any official announcement or declaration is made by either the Russian or Iranian government indicating that they have entered into a formal military alliance. Speculative statements or opinions from unofficial sources will not count. The resolution of this market will be based on announcements from credible and official government sources.
This market resolves to Yes if, by December 31, 2026, a U.S.-based company publicly announces the full integration of AI into its workforce strategy, including recruitment, retention, and training, with outlined results demonstrating effectiveness and improved productivity. Official press releases or major news publications will serve as valid sources for verification.
This market resolves to Yes if any major prediction platform (e.g., Polymarket, Kalshi, PredictIt) officially announces and implements regulations specifically prohibiting betting on acts of war by December 31, 2026. The announcement must be covered by at least one reputable news source or confirmed by a statement from the platform. The market resolves to No if no such regulations are implemented by the deadline.
This market resolves to Yes if any company or consortium submits a formal takeover offer for PayPal Holdings Inc. that is publicly confirmed by PayPal or widely reported in reputable financial news sources by December 31, 2026. Otherwise, it resolves to No.
This market resolves to Yes if a new official nuclear agreement between Iran and the United States is announced and confirmed by both parties by December 31, 2026. The agreement must be publicly acknowledged by both the US government and the Iranian government.
This market resolves to Yes if Jared Harris's legal action against the AI podcast for using his likeness without permission is settled, either through a court decision or an out-of-court agreement, by December 31, 2026. If no official resolution is publicly announced by this date, the market resolves to No.