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Will the US implement a new global tariff policy by December 31, 2026?

50% chance

Will the U.S. government ban institutional investors from purchasing single-family homes by the end of 2026?

50% chance

Will Jordan's Parliament permanently remove 'Israel' from official discourse by the end of 2026?

50% chance

Will a new record be set for the fastest quantum chemistry calculation by the end of 2026?

50% chance

Will the cost of semaglutide fall below $10 per month in low-income countries by the end of 2026?

50% chance

Will the SEC implement new regulations on Trump-linked cryptocurrencies by December 31, 2026?

50% chance

Will a new automated system to detect fraudulent scientific papers be adopted by a major publisher by December 31, 2026?

50% chance

Will Revolut secure a US bank charter by December 31, 2026?

50% chance

Will there be more than 25 significant M&A deals in the sports industry by the end of 2026?

50% chance

Will Japan have over 50,000 locations accepting cryptocurrency payments by the end of 2026?

50% chance

Will UK inflation exceed 2.5% in the second half of 2026?

50% chance

Will Greenpeace file for bankruptcy in the USA by the end of 2026?

50% chance

Will India produce its first domestically designed semiconductor chip by the end of 2026?

50% chance

Will Bill Gates publicly address his ties to Jeffrey Epstein again in 2026?

50% chance

Will Chubb complete its first significant workforce reduction by December 2026?

70% chance

Will over 50% of major U.S. hospitals integrate AI-driven scribe tools by the end of 2026?

60% chance

Will CoreWeave face new allegations of securities fraud after April 1, 2026?

50% chance

Will OpenAI implement the 'Declaration of Humanity' guidelines by December 31, 2026?

50% chance

Will Russia formally announce a military alliance with Iran by the end of 2026?

50% chance

Will a U.S.-based company fully integrate AI into its workforce strategy by the end of 2026?

50% chance

Will any major prediction platform introduce regulations against betting on acts of war by the end of 2026?

50% chance

Will PayPal receive a formal takeover offer by the end of 2026?

50% chance

Will Iran and the US reach a new nuclear agreement by December 31, 2026?

50% chance

Will Jared Harris's legal action against the AI podcast be settled by December 31, 2026?

50% chance
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