Markets
Explore and trade on all active prediction markets.
This market resolves to Yes if the price of Bitcoin reaches or surpasses $100,000 on any major cryptocurrency exchange by the end of December 31, 2026. Price verification will be based on data from recognized exchanges such as Coinbase, Binance, or Kraken.
This market resolves to Yes if the President of the United States appoints a new Chief Justice of the Supreme Court and the appointment is confirmed by the Senate by December 31, 2026. Any announcement, nomination without confirmation, or non-confirmed replacement will not count.
This market resolves to Yes if Apple reports sales of more than 2 million units of its new MacBook Neo by December 31, 2026. Official sales figures must be released by Apple through a quarterly financial report or verified official announcement by that date.
This market resolves to Yes if the Bon Jovi biopic produced by Universal Pictures grosses over $500 million worldwide by December 31, 2026. The box office gross will be verified from reputable sources such as Box Office Mojo and The Hollywood Reporter.
This market resolves to Yes if the price of Bitcoin reaches or exceeds $100,000 USD on any reputable exchange by the end of December 31, 2026. Price verification will be based on data from Coinbase, Binance, and Kraken exchanges. Should there be any discrepancies, the median price from these exchanges will be used.
This market resolves to Yes if Hims & Hers formally announces the integration of Novo Nordisk's obesity drugs into their telehealth platform with at least one official product or service launch related to the drugs by December 31, 2026. Verification will be done through official press releases from either Hims & Hers or Novo Nordisk.
This market resolves to Yes if Kathy Ireland successfully wins a legal judgment in her favor, declaring her victorious in the lawsuit against her former managers regarding the alleged $100 million misappropriation, by December 31, 2026. The market resolves to No if by that date, no legal victory is reported, or if the lawsuit is dismissed or resolved without a win for Kathy Ireland.
This market resolves to Yes if Amazon's healthcare AI tool, offered for free to Prime members, records usage from at least 1 million unique users by December 31, 2026. This will be determined based on official announcements or reports from Amazon regarding user statistics.
This market resolves to Yes if ServiceNow reports an unemployment rate exceeding 30% for college graduates within its industry analysis by December 31, 2026. Any official report, press release, or public statement by ServiceNow would act as the resolution source.
This market resolves to Yes if Pepeto's Cross Chain Bridge achieves a transaction throughput exceeding 100,000 transactions per second (TPS) by December 31, 2026. Verification will be through official announcements from Pepeto or audited performance reports from credible independent sources.
This market resolves to Yes if the SUPPLYCO AI Platform officially announces an integration with QuTwo OS that enables AI workloads across classical, quantum-inspired, and quantum hardware by December 31, 2026. An official announcement must be made by SUPPLYCO AI Platform or QuTwo through company press releases, official blogs, or news coverage.
This market resolves to Yes if a virtual awards event, specifically branded as a 'Black Twitter' event and reported by major media, takes place by December 31, 2026. The event should aim to celebrate or recognize trends, people, or tweets associated with Black Twitter.
This market resolves to Yes if the immigration overhaul bill introduced by Rep. Andy Ogles, R-Tenn., passes the U.S. House of Representatives before the end of 2026. The bill proposes significant changes to legal immigration, including ending chain migration and eliminating the diversity visa lottery.
This market resolves to Yes if Spotify publicly announces that they have reached or surpassed 300 million paid subscribers by December 31, 2026. The count will be based on official announcements or reports from Spotify, credible media outlets, or financial statements.
This market resolves to Yes if Congress successfully enacts a law specifically aimed at addressing healthcare affordability in the United States by December 31, 2026. The law must be signed by the President and publicly acknowledged to fulfill the criteria of addressing healthcare affordability challenges highlighted in recent surveys.
This market resolves to Yes if Bitcoin's price exceeds $100,000 at any point before or on December 31, 2026, based on verified data from major exchanges like Coinbase or Binance.
This market resolves to Yes if by December 31, 2026, scientific consensus, based on published research, confirms clear and measurable signs of collapse in the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC), as reflected by significant weakening or deflection of the Gulf Stream.
This market resolves to Yes if there are no major disruptions lasting more than a week that prevent oil tankers from navigating through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026. A major disruption is defined as a halt in tanker traffic due to conflict, military intervention, or sanctions fully obstructing passage.
This market resolves to Yes if Sutter Health and Allina Health receive regulatory approval to merge into one health system by December 31, 2026. The merger must be confirmed through official announcements by both companies and regulatory bodies involved.
This market resolves to Yes if Pepeto's cross chain bridge records a daily transaction volume of at least 500,000 transactions on any day before December 31, 2026. The data will be verified through official statements from Pepeto's team or reputable crypto market analytics sources.
This market resolves to Yes if there is a scientifically verified report by the end of 2026 indicating that the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) has definitively entered a phase of collapse, characterized by a significant and sustained weakening beyond previously recorded fluctuations.
This market resolves to Yes if the current temporary block by the federal judge on changes to the U.S. vaccine recommendations is overturned, allowing for the new recommendations to take effect before the end of 2026. Official government announcements or court documents will be used as sources for resolution.
This market resolves to Yes if Alibaba's XuanTie C950 CPU, developed on the RISC-V architecture, is commercially deployed in any AI application by December 31, 2026. Commercial deployment should be confirmed through official announcements by Alibaba or relevant industry reports.
This market resolves to Yes if Bank of America finalizes a settlement agreement with the Epstein accusers by December 31, 2026. A settlement is considered finalized if it is publicly announced as such and no further steps remain for implementation, such as court approval or additional negotiations. This market resolves to No if the settlement is not finalized by this date or if the negotiations fail entirely.