Markets
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This market resolves to Yes if verifiable reports by a major news organization confirm that references, including mention or inclusion, to individuals within the Epstein Files exceed 10 million by December 31, 2026. 'References' must be clearly documented in the context of released file information, covering any individual discussed in news sources.
This market resolves to Yes if M EVO GLOBAL ACQUISITION CORP II announces an official merger or acquisition with a company primarily involved in the critical minerals sector by December 31, 2026. The announcement must be officially confirmed through a press release or a filing with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
This market resolves to Yes if any S&P 500 company receives an 'A' rating in the Climate Action category from the CDP (Carbon Disclosure Project) for the first time in its history, by December 31, 2026. Previously rated companies achieving 'A' ratings again will not count towards this outcome. Verification will be based on official announcements from CDP.
This market resolves to Yes if the draft law proposing restrictions on Steam and the Epic Games Store by the Ministry of Family and Social Services is officially enacted in Turkey by December 31, 2026. Verification will be based on reports from reliable news sources confirming the enactment.
This market resolves to Yes if Oracle's NetSuite AI Connector Service reports a 20% or greater increase in the number of corporate clients by December 31, 2026, as confirmed by Oracle's official financial statements or press releases.
This market resolves to Yes if Megan Rapinoe makes a public statement supporting the International Olympic Committee's new policy intended to protect women's sports, prior to 31st December 2026. This includes any public statement in interviews, official publications, or on her verified social media accounts.
This market resolves to Yes if the Pixar movie 'Hoppers' receives a nomination for Best Animated Feature at the 2027 Academy Awards by December 2026. The official list of nominations released by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences will be used to determine the outcome.
This market resolves to Yes if a major video game publisher publicly announces that a new game will feature entirely AI-generated content with no human involvement in its creation by December 31, 2026. The game must be backed by a well-known publisher such as EA, Ubisoft, or Activision, and the announcement must be verified by credible sources.
This market resolves to Yes if Equalpride successfully launches a new event series focused on LGBTQ+ culture under the 'Them' brand by December 31, 2026. The event series must be officially announced and publicly accessible. If no such event series is launched by the deadline, the market resolves to No.
This market resolves to Yes if at least two different US states officially enact regulations capping hospital service prices by December 31, 2026. The market will resolve based on announcements from state governments and confirmed implementation of such regulatory measures.
This market resolves to Yes if Kenneth Walker III, playing for the Kansas City Chiefs, accumulates more than 1,500 rushing yards during the 2026 NFL regular season. Official statistics from the NFL will be used to determine the result. The regular season is scheduled to end on January 4, 2027.
This market resolves to Yes if Roger Marshall is officially appointed as the Chair of the Senate Health Committee by January 15, 2027, following the 2026 midterm elections. The market will resolve based on an official announcement from the U.S. Senate or a credible news source confirming the chairmanship.
This market resolves to Yes if the total proceeds from Initial Public Offerings (IPOs) in the United States during the year 2026 exceed $160 billion, as reported by a reliable financial source such as Reuters or Bloomberg. The resolution will be based on cumulative data published by a leading financial news outlet after the end of 2026.
This market resolves to Yes if official trade data published by the United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) or equivalent credible sources confirm an increase in American agricultural exports to India compared to 2025 figures, by the end of 2026.
This market resolves to Yes if Christopher Nolan's film 'The Odyssey' receives a nomination for Best Picture at the 2027 Academy Awards. The nominations are typically announced by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences weeks before the ceremony.
This market resolves to Yes if UnitedHealth Group's 2026 adjusted profit per share is greater than $17.75, as reported in their official earnings release for 2026. The market will resolve one day after the earnings release to ensure accurate reporting and verification.
This market resolves to Yes if General Motors' electric vehicle division reports a profitable quarter (positive net income) by the end of the fourth quarter of 2026. The official financial statements released by GM for Q4 2026 will be used to determine the outcome.
This market resolves to Yes if official data released by the recording industry association in early 2027 confirms that vinyl record sales in 2026 exceeded one billion dollars.
This market resolves to Yes if an artist is awarded the Grammy for the newly introduced 'Asian Pop' category at the 2027 Grammy Awards. The Grammy Awards are expected to take place in early 2027, and the winners will be announced during the ceremony.
This market resolves to Yes if GM publicly reports that its losses from the electric vehicle division are reduced by over $1 billion during the fiscal year 2026, compared to its losses in 2025. Official corporate financial statements and press releases will be used to resolve this market.
This market resolves to Yes if the UK Consumer Price Index (CPI) annual inflation rate, as reported by the Office for National Statistics, is above 2% for the majority of months in the fourth quarter of 2026 (October, November, December). The resolution will rely on official CPI reports released in early 2027 for the respective months.
This market resolves to Yes if Amazon reports higher quarterly revenue than Walmart for every quarter in 2026. The comparison will be based on officially published earnings reports from both Amazon and Walmart.
This market resolves to Yes if official national health statistics show that Australian private health insurance enrolments decrease by more than 10% in 2026 compared to 2025 levels, primarily attributed to the premium hikes announced for April 2026. The resolution will rely on reports from authoritative bodies such as the Australian Prudential Regulation Authority (APRA) or similar organizations.