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This market resolves to 'Yes' if the 'With Music … with Love' event, featuring clarinetist Peter Bianca and a world premiere of Ben Stevenson’s Huron Suite, is reported as sold out before the event date of February 4, 2027.
This market resolves to Yes if Chevrolet's official 250th anniversary campaign includes a commercial aired during the Super Bowl scheduled for February 7, 2027. Any official announcement by Chevrolet or confirmation from the NFL that Chevy will broadcast a campaign-related ad during the Super Bowl constitutes a Yes resolution. If no such ad is aired or officially confirmed, the market resolves to No.
This market resolves to Yes if Kenneth Walker III is awarded the NFL Offensive Player of the Year for the 2026 season, as announced by the Associated Press. The award is usually given in early February following the conclusion of the NFL regular season and playoffs.
This market resolves to Yes if any American athlete who participated in the 2026 Winter Olympics goes on to break a world record related to their post-Olympic employment or career within a year after the Olympics ends (by February 28, 2027). This can include records in sectors such as endorsements, public appearances, or social media influence directly tied to their newfound Olympic fame.
This market resolves to Yes if the Norwegian Sovereign Wealth Fund, managed by Norges Bank Investment Management, reports an annual return exceeding $1.5 billion for the year 2026, as officially announced in their annual financial report.
This market resolves to 'Yes' if the Eurozone's gross domestic product (GDP) growth for the year 2026, as reported by Eurostat, exceeds 1.0%. The closing date will be adjusted based on the release of the official annual GDP growth report by Eurostat, expected in early 2027.
This market resolves to Yes if the NFL, in partnership with the US State Department, officially hosts a Super Bowl watch party at a US embassy in a foreign country by the end of February 2027. Verification will be based on public announcements by the NFL or the US Department of State.
This market resolves to Yes if NetEase reports total revenue exceeding $10 billion for the fiscal year 2026 in their official financial statements. The resolution will rely on NetEase's announcements via their annual report or a press release published by a reputable financial news source.
This market resolves to Yes if, by March 31, 2027, official reports confirm that over 50% of Punjab's rice cultivation area has adopted the Direct Seeded Rice (DSR) method as part of the state's sustainable agriculture initiatives. Verification will be based on reports from the Punjab government's agriculture department or a credible national news source.
This market resolves to Yes if General Motors reports in its official 2026 financial statements a reduction in electric vehicle (EV) losses by more than $1 billion compared to 2025. The determination will be based on their fiscal year-end reporting, typically published in their annual report or results announcements for the financial year ending December 31, 2026.
This market resolves to Yes if by March 31, 2027, there is documented evidence of Edison’s revived nickel-iron battery being used in at least one commercial application, as reported by reliable technology or energy industry sources.
This market resolves to Yes if the CAPA Asia Aviation Summit & Awards for Excellence introduces a new sustainability initiative during its event in 2026 or any related announcements up to March 2027. The initiative must be officially confirmed by the summit organizers or reported in credible aviation publications such as Aviation Week or similar.
This market resolves to Yes if reported global crypto money-laundering activities, as published by a reputable source like Chainalysis, exceed $90 billion for the year 2026. Verification needs to be from data or reports released within the first quarter of 2027. The estimation must come from recognized blockchain analysis firms or credible financial institutions.
This market resolves to Yes if any major US health system publicly announces official integration or collaboration with Oura smart rings for patient monitoring or data integration by March 31, 2027.
This market resolves to Yes if, by March 31, 2027, a peer-reviewed scientific study confirms that energy in turbulence can transfer from small to large scales (backward energy cascade), reversing the traditional forward cascade model, as demonstrated by computer simulations at KTH Royal Institute of Technology. Confirmation must be published in a reputable scientific journal.
This market resolves to Yes if official scientific reports confirm that the Greenland Ice Sheet has contributed more than 1mm to global sea-level rise in the calendar year of 2026. The resolution will be based on peer-reviewed studies or reports from recognized scientific organizations, such as the IPCC or NASA, released by March 2027.
This market resolves to Yes if Disney+ shows an increase of at least 10% in active subscribers in their first quarterly report of 2027, following the implementation of their new membership ecosystem plan. Relevant subscription numbers must be released by Disney in an official earnings report.
This market resolves to Yes if the U.S. GDP growth rate for the year 2026, as reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis, exceeds 3.0%. The resolution will occur following the official release of the 2026 annual GDP report, typically published in Q1 of the following year. Data from other sources will not be used for resolution.
This market resolves to Yes if official reports or ratings data indicate an increase in viewership for Southern Conference men's basketball games broadcast on CBS Sports Network during the 2026-27 season compared to the 2025-26 season.
This market resolves to Yes if the global recorded music revenue, as reported by MIDiA Research or other authoritative industry sources, exceeds $42 billion for the year 2026. This will take into account revenue from streaming, merchandise, live performances, and branding rights.