Markets

Explore and trade on all active prediction markets.

This market resolves to Yes if the global recorded music revenue, as reported by MIDiA Research or other authoritative industry sources, exceeds $42 billion for the year 2026. This will take into account revenue from streaming, merchandise, live performances, and branding rights.

50% chance

This market resolves to Yes if there is credible evidence by April 2027 that the expansion of Cardinal Health's Actinium-225 (Ac-225) production has successfully eased supply constraints for targeted alpha therapies. Confirmation can come from industry reports, announcements from Cardinal Health, or independent healthcare analyses indicating a reduction in supply issues.

70% chance

Automated predictive market for Culture sector.

50% chance

Automated predictive market for Tech sector.

50% chance

This market resolves to Yes if the CDC's official report indicates that the US infant mortality rate for 2026 is below 5.0 per 1,000 live births.

55% chance

This market resolves to Yes if the Detroit Red Wings qualify for the 2027 Stanley Cup Playoffs. The decision will be based on the official NHL playoff standings at the end of the 2026-2027 regular season.

30% chance

Automated predictive market for Politics sector.

50% chance

Automated predictive market for Crypto sector.

50% chance

This market resolves to Yes if at least one far-right candidate advances to the second round of the French presidential election in 2027. A far-right candidate is defined as any candidate representing a party commonly classified as far-right by mainstream political analysts, such as the National Rally (Rassemblement National) in France.

55% chance

This market resolves to Yes if a new security incident, such as a breach or attack, is reported to have occurred during the next White House Correspondents' Dinner event. The incident must be confirmed by multiple credible news outlets.

30% chance

Automated predictive market for Culture sector.

50% chance

Automated predictive market for Politics sector.

50% chance

This market resolves to Yes if Sage Steele Kimzey wins the 2027 PBR World Finals at Desert Diamond Arena in Arizona. The event is scheduled to take place from May 20-23, 2027.

40% chance

This market resolves to Yes if, by May 31, 2027, a scientific body or research group publicly announces with evidence that a pulsar has been confirmed near the supermassive black hole at the center of the Milky Way. The confirmation must be published in a reputable scientific journal or announced by a leading scientific body involved in the Breakthrough Listen Galactic Center Survey.

50% chance

This market resolves to Yes if a general election is officially held in the United Kingdom before June 1, 2027. The resolution is based on an official announcement by the UK government or electoral commission confirming the general election date within this timeframe.

50% chance

Automated predictive market for Science sector.

50% chance

This market resolves to Yes if a major health institution (such as the CDC, WHO, or equivalent) publicly recommends routine blood tests specifically for early cancer detection by June 30, 2027. Recommendations from smaller organizations or non-official statements will not be considered.

55% chance

This market resolves to Yes if Amazon successfully deploys its next-generation warehouse robot in any of its European fulfillment centers by June 30, 2027. The resolution will be based on official announcements from Amazon or credible news sources confirming the deployment.

70% chance

Automated predictive market for Science sector.

50% chance

Automated predictive market for Politics sector.

50% chance

Automated predictive market for Crypto sector.

50% chance

Automated predictive market for Crypto sector.

50% chance

Automated predictive market for Crypto sector.

50% chance