Markets
Explore and trade on all active prediction markets.
This market resolves to Yes if official government documentation or reputable news sources confirm that the Dutch government has implemented legally binding targets to cut greenhouse gas emissions, in line with the Paris Climate Agreement, for the island of Bonaire by July 31, 2027.
This market resolves to Yes if the AI-discovered natural molecule identified by Stanford scientists as having Ozempic-like effects without typical side effects receives FDA approval by July 31, 2027. The market resolves to No if approval has not been granted by this date.
This market resolves to 'Yes' if no rural hospitals in Michigan close due to financial difficulties by August 2027, as publicly reported. Closures must be attributed to financial issues such as declining reimbursement rates, rising costs, or declining patient numbers.
This market resolves to Yes if any company or research organization publicly announces a commercial application utilizing quantum entanglement created by sunlight, by August 1, 2027.
Automated predictive market for Crypto sector.
Automated predictive market for Culture sector.
Automated predictive market for Politics sector.
Automated predictive market for Politics sector.
This market resolves to Yes if scientific reports published by a credible institution (such as NASA, the National Snow and Ice Data Center, or a peer-reviewed scientific journal) confirm that Jakobshavn Glacier has reached a critical tipping point by December 31, 2027. The tipping point is defined as a significant and sustained acceleration in the glacier's melt rate leading to irreversible retreat.
This market resolves to Yes if, by December 31, 2027, a commercially available solar cell uses the electron 'catapult' mechanism demonstrated by physicists for charge transfer. The resolution will be based on announcements from solar cell manufacturers or verified reports in reputable scientific or technology news outlets.
This market resolves to Yes if Arm Holdings' new in-house AI chip generates at least $15 billion in revenue annually by December 31, 2027, as verified by the company's official financial statements or credible third-party financial analysis.
This market resolves to Yes if there is a published scientific study or official report by a recognized organization confirming that the integration of space-based observations of vegetation and soil moisture has led to improved air quality forecasts specifically in agricultural regions by December 31, 2027.
This market resolves to Yes if Huawei's new AI chip is reported by a reputable source to capture over 25% of NVIDIA's AI chip market share in China by December 31, 2027. The determination will be based on market analysis reports from tech industry watchers such as IDC, Gartner, or similar sources.
This market resolves to Yes if Japan officially begins its first commercial operation to mine the ocean seabed for minerals by December 31, 2027. The resolution will be based on verifiable reports from credible news sources confirming the commencement of commercial mining activities on or before this date.
This market resolves to Yes if, by December 31, 2027, Intuit's AI-powered ERP solution tailored for the construction industry captures at least 10% of the market share as reported by a reputable industry analysis or report.
This market resolves to Yes if an official announcement about the next-gen Xbox console is made by either AMD or Microsoft by December 31, 2027. The announcement must be confirmed through a press release, official company statement, or coverage by a credible media source.
This market resolves to Yes if Lands' End, as part of its joint venture with WHP Global, reports total licensing revenues exceeding $500 million by December 31, 2027. The resolution will be based on official financial statements released by Lands' End or WHP Global.
This market resolves to Yes if Nvidia's cumulative sales of Blackwell and Rubin chips reach at least $1 trillion by December 31, 2027. Sales figures will be verified through Nvidia's public financial disclosures and reports.
This market resolves to Yes if the restoration of Palazzo Danieli Excelsior, increasing the total accommodations to 168 rooms and suites, is publicly confirmed as completed on or before December 31, 2027.
This market resolves to Yes if a swarm of drones is publicly confirmed by a recognized space agency or private space exploration company to have been deployed to explore a planetary body (such as a planet, moon, or asteroid) in our solar system by December 31, 2027. The confirmation must come from official sources, such as a press release or statement.
This market resolves to Yes if the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) approves a new therapy for pancreatic cancer, specifically one targeting the mutated gene responsible for 90% of cases, by December 31, 2027. The therapy must be based on the recent breakthrough described in news where mice trials showed significant tumor regression without side effects.
This market resolves to Yes if the Mexican government officially declares the site of the recently discovered 1,400-year-old Zapotec tomb in San Pablo Huitzo, Oaxaca, as a new cultural heritage site by December 31, 2027.
This market resolves to Yes if a new federal regulation concerning name, image, and likeness (NIL) rights is enacted that directly affects existing college football policies by December 31, 2027. The rule must be established at the federal level and have an impact on college football governance or athlete eligibility within the United States.