Markets

This market resolves to Yes if Dentsu Entertainment officially announces its first project developed in partnership with Made By Us Studios on or before August 25, 2026. The announcement must be made through a press release, official statement, or other verifiable source and specify a project resulting from their new partnership.

This market resolves to Yes if Debbie Wasserman Schultz wins the Democratic primary election for Florida's 20th congressional district in the 2026 election cycle. The primary is scheduled for August 25, 2026, and the outcome will be publicly known shortly after all votes are counted and officially announced.

This market resolves to Yes if official charges are filed against any individuals involved in the violent incident at the Maui resort by August 30, 2026. Confirmation must come from a credible news source or official legal documentation.

This market resolves to Yes if, by August 30, 2026, Troy Jackson (Democratic nominee for the 2026 midterms in Maine) publicly announces a detailed and actionable statewide plan for implementing Medicare for All. This announcement must include specific policy details and key legislative or executive steps, and must be reported by a reputable news outlet or Jackson's official campaign channels. Ambiguous statements or generalized support for Medicare for All will not count.

This market resolves to Yes if the 50,000 tires illegally dumped on Khanh Tran's newly purchased property in Southeast Portland are publicly confirmed to be removed by August 31, 2026. Verification must come from a credible news source or an official statement from local authorities before the stated date.

This market resolves to Yes if the official National Bobblehead Hall of Fame and Museum announces that the 'Jimothy the Raccoon' bobblehead has sold out all its initial stock within 30 days of its official release date. Announcements via official press releases, the museum's website, or verified social media accounts will determine the result.

Will there be a publicly announced ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine by August 30, 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if, by August 30, 2026, there is a publicly announced ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine reported by at least two major international news outlets (e.g., AP News, BBC, Reuters). This includes any temporary or conditional ceasefire agreements covering all or part of the conflict area. If no such announcement is made by this date, the market resolves to No.

This market resolves to Yes if public and credible reports confirm that commercial shipping traffic has resumed through the Strait of Hormuz by 11:59 PM UTC on August 31, 2026. Public confirmation can come from governments, international maritime organizations, or major verified news outlets. If no such reports are available by this date, the market resolves to No.

Will Amazon announce the groundbreaking of its Dog's Head project by August 31, 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if Amazon publicly announces the groundbreaking of its Dog's Head project in Southeast Austin by August 31, 2026. Official statements, press releases, or reputable media coverage will be used to determine the outcome. If no such announcement occurs by the resolution date, this market resolves to No.

This market resolves to Yes if NASA publicly announces the successful initiation of science flights for its new Earth observation missions by August 31, 2026. Relevant confirmation must come from an official NASA press release, press briefing, or updates on the official NASA.gov website.

This market resolves to Yes if a lawsuit publicly supported by or filed on behalf of Donald Trump or his administration officials is filed by August 31, 2026, to challenge the outcome of any 2024 U.S. Senate race. Official documentation or a direct statement from Trump's camp will be required for confirmation. The market resolves to No if no such lawsuit is filed by this date.

This market resolves to Yes if the Democratic Party officially includes a 'Medicare for All' policy proposal in its platform as part of its 2026 midterm election strategy. Official updates regarding the Democratic Party's platform, as publicly reported by major reputable news outlets or the Democratic Party itself, will determine resolution.

Will Bitcoin reach a new all-time high of $69,000 or above by August 31, 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if Bitcoin's price, as reported by Coindesk or CoinMarketCap, reaches or surpasses $69,000 at any time before the market closes on August 31, 2026. The current all-time high for Bitcoin is $68,789 (achieved in November 2021). This question is based on renewed market discussion and speculative sentiment regarding Bitcoin's potential recovery and new highs, as mentioned in recent financial news.

Will China’s GLM-5.2 AI model be ranked among the top 5 models in commercial usage by August 31, 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if credible third-party reports (e.g., from research firms like Gartner, IDC, or similar sources) confirm that China's GLM-5.2 AI model is listed among the top 5 AI models (based on market share or adoption in commercial applications) by August 31, 2026. The ranking must be explicitly tied to commercial industry usage, as determined by such reports, and not speculative or preliminary data. Resolution criteria require publication of proper rankings or analyses from reliable sources.

Will the U.S. CDC officially recommend reclassifying Grade Group 1 prostate cancer as a precancerous condition by August 31, 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) makes an official recommendation, announcement, or guideline by August 31, 2026, advocating for the reclassification of Grade Group 1 prostate cancer (the earliest and lowest-risk form of the disease) as a precancerous condition. Any such confirmation must be made publicly on the CDC's website, press releases, or official communications. If no such announcement is made by August 31, 2026, this market resolves to No.