Ravioli, Prediction Markets & Debates

This market resolves to Yes if Floyd Mayweather participates in a sanctioned professional boxing match that is not an exhibition bout by the end of December 31, 2026. Exhibition matches and any unsanctioned fights will not fulfill the criteria for this market.

Will 15% or more of listed Israeli companies receive a CDP climate score in 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if 15% or more of the Israeli companies listed on the Carbon Disclosure Project (CDP) receive a climate score in 2026. The evaluation will be based on the official CDP report published at the end of 2026.

Will OpenAI implement the 'Declaration of Humanity' guidelines by December 31, 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if OpenAI publicly announces the adoption and integration of all five main pillars of the 'Declaration of Humanity' guidelines by December 31, 2026. These pillars include maintaining human control, preventing the centralization of power, protecting personal freedom, ensuring corporate accountability under the law, and confirming AI safety before use. If no such announcement is made by this date, the market resolves to No.

Will the U.S. government ban institutional investors from purchasing single-family homes by the end of 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if, by December 31, 2026, the U.S. government officially enacts legislation banning institutional investors from purchasing single-family homes. News reports and official government announcements will be used to resolve this market.

This market resolves to Yes if a published report or announcement verifies that a quantum chemistry calculation has been performed significantly faster than previously recorded times, using a new or updated software package developed before the end of 2026. The resolution will be based on credible sources such as scientific publications, company press releases, or other authoritative announcements.

This market resolves to Yes if the SEC publicly announces and implements new regulations specifically targeting cryptocurrencies linked to Trump-affiliated projects by December 31, 2026. Public announcements must come directly from the SEC through official channels. General cryptocurrency regulations that do not specifically mention Trump-linked projects will not qualify for a 'Yes' outcome.

This market resolves to Yes if a major scientific publisher publicly announces the adoption of a new automated system specifically designed to detect fraudulent or fake scientific papers by December 31, 2026. The announcement must come from a recognized scientific publishing house and include details about the system being used.

This market resolves to Yes if the UK Consumer Price Index (CPI) published by the Office for National Statistics indicates an inflation rate above 2.5% for any month between July and December 2026. Inflation rate is measured in terms of year-over-year percentage change. Official statistics on the UK government's website will be used for resolution.

Will Greenpeace file for bankruptcy in the USA by the end of 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if Greenpeace files for bankruptcy protection in the United States before December 31, 2026, as a direct consequence of the $345 million verdict against them finalized in the Dakota Access Pipeline case. Official bankruptcy filings must be reported by major news outlets or through legal documents. If no bankruptcy filing occurs by the end date, the market resolves to No.

This market resolves to Yes if IBM, INFQ, or QBTS publicly demonstrates a quantum computer that is deemed commercially relevant by December 31, 2026, as per Trump's executive orders aiming for such a technological achievement by 2028. The determination of 'commercially relevant' will be based on a consensus of leading tech media reports and expert opinions.

Will XRP reach at least $10 by the end of 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if the price of XRP reaches or exceeds $10 on any reputable crypto exchange by December 31, 2026. The final price will be considered on a closing basis at the end of the day in Coordinated Universal Time (UTC).