Ravioli, Prediction Markets & Debates

Will the U.S. Supreme Court rule to uphold a federal ban on assault weapons by December 31, 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if the U.S. Supreme Court issues a ruling by December 31, 2026, that upholds the legality of a federal ban on assault weapons. The decision must explicitly address a federal assault weapons ban in place and conclude that it is constitutional. If no such ruling is issued, or if the Court rules against the ban's constitutionality, the market resolves to No. Any related rulings must be publicly available and verifiable through official Supreme Court records.

Will Tesla merge with SpaceX and xAI by the end of 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if Tesla officially announces a merger, acquisition, or any formal consolidation with SpaceX and xAI by December 31, 2026. The confirmation must come from an official press release or a regulatory filing by any of the involved companies. Partial or informal announcements will not qualify.

This market resolves to Yes if a major video game publisher publicly announces that a new game will feature entirely AI-generated content with no human involvement in its creation by December 31, 2026. The game must be backed by a well-known publisher such as EA, Ubisoft, or Activision, and the announcement must be verified by credible sources.

This market resolves to Yes if General Motors' electric vehicle division reports a profitable quarter (positive net income) by the end of the fourth quarter of 2026. The official financial statements released by GM for Q4 2026 will be used to determine the outcome.