Ravioli, Prediction Markets & Debates

Active Markets

Will Netflix reach 500M subscribers by 2027?

50%chance 10 today
Ends Sep 6, 2027

Will a private company land on the Moon in 2027?

50%chance 6 today
Ends Sep 19, 2027

Will GPT-7 achieve AGI by Q3 2027?

50%chance 2 today
Ends Sep 19, 2027

Will global carbon emissions peak in 2027?

50%chance 14 today
Ends Oct 7, 2027

Automated predictive market for Politics sector.

50% chance

This market resolves to Yes if, by December 31, 2027, Intuit's AI-powered ERP solution tailored for the construction industry captures at least 10% of the market share as reported by a reputable industry analysis or report.

50% chance

Will Japan begin commercial ocean-floor mining by the end of 2027?

50%chance 8 today
Ends Dec 31, 2027

This market resolves to Yes if Huawei's new AI chip is reported by a reputable source to capture over 25% of NVIDIA's AI chip market share in China by December 31, 2027. The determination will be based on market analysis reports from tech industry watchers such as IDC, Gartner, or similar sources.

40% chance

This market resolves to Yes if an official announcement about the next-gen Xbox console is made by either AMD or Microsoft by December 31, 2027. The announcement must be confirmed through a press release, official company statement, or coverage by a credible media source.

50% chance

This market resolves to Yes if scientific reports published by a credible institution (such as NASA, the National Snow and Ice Data Center, or a peer-reviewed scientific journal) confirm that Jakobshavn Glacier has reached a critical tipping point by December 31, 2027. The tipping point is defined as a significant and sustained acceleration in the glacier's melt rate leading to irreversible retreat.

50% chance

This market resolves to Yes if Lands' End, as part of its joint venture with WHP Global, reports total licensing revenues exceeding $500 million by December 31, 2027. The resolution will be based on official financial statements released by Lands' End or WHP Global.

50% chance

This market resolves to Yes if, by December 31, 2027, Nvidia publicly reports that it has reached $1 trillion in sales from its Blackwell and Rubin chip products. Official sales reports, press releases, or formal announcements from Nvidia will be used to determine the outcome.

55% chance

This market resolves to Yes if a swarm of drones is publicly confirmed by a recognized space agency or private space exploration company to have been deployed to explore a planetary body (such as a planet, moon, or asteroid) in our solar system by December 31, 2027. The confirmation must come from official sources, such as a press release or statement.

50% chance

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