Ravioli, Prediction Markets & Debates
Active Markets
Will Metro Bank achieve a return on tangible equity of 18% or greater by the end of 2028?
Will a national Olympic committee publicly withdraw from the 2030 Winter Olympics citing sportswashing concerns by December 31, 2028?
Will Africa's clean energy fund reach $2.5 billion in financing by the end of 2028?
Will an ultrafast quantum chemistry engine help develop a new FDA-approved drug by 2028?
Will chickpeas be successfully grown on the Moon by the end of 2028?
This market resolves to Yes if definitive data or a major international climate authority confirms that global carbon emissions have peaked and started to decline before January 1, 2029. The data must be widely recognized and reported in respected climate science publications or by organizations like the United Nations or the International Energy Agency.
Will a successful chickpea harvest be achieved in lunar soil simulant on the Moon by 2028?
Will the European Union's IRIS² secure satellite communication system begin operation before January 2029?
This market resolves to Yes if the average summer temperature in Greenland exceeds 10°C for June through August, as recorded by the Danish Meteorological Institute, by the end of 2030.
This market resolves to Yes if, according to official reports from the International Olympic Committee or similar authoritative bodies, more than 75% of the potential Winter Olympics host locations identified in a pre-2030 study require machine-made snow to meet the conditions for holding the Games by December 31, 2030.
Will the U.S. Census Bureau include a citizenship question in the official 2030 Census?
This market resolves to Yes if, according to official reports or announcements from Conagra or local authorities, at least 100 jobs are created as part of Conagra's $220 million expansion of its Fayetteville manufacturing site by December 31, 2030. The market will resolve to No if fewer than 100 jobs are announced or created by this date.
Will the Kansas City Chiefs' new stadium host a Super Bowl by the end of 2035?
This market resolves to Yes if a verifiable source confirms the successful establishment and operational status of a nuclear power station on the Moon by the end of 2036. The source must be from a reputable space agency such as NASA or an equivalent international organization.