Ravioli, Prediction Markets & Debates

Active Markets

This market resolves to Yes if all companies referred to as the 'Magnificent Seven' (Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, Google, Meta, Nvidia, and Tesla) report earnings growth that outpaces the percentage growth of the S&P 500 index during their respective Q3 2026 earnings releases. The determination will rely on the reported earnings growth percentages (year-over-year) compared directly to the S&P 500 earnings growth percentage for Q3 2026, as published by financial sources such as Bloomberg, Reuters, or other widely trusted market data outlets by the close of the last Magnificent Seven company's earnings report release.

70% chance

This market resolves to Yes if during COP31, which is scheduled for November 2026, a major participating country or coalition announces a new substantial climate policy specifically addressing the recent acceleration in global warming, as reported by the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research. The policy must be officially announced and publicly verified during the conference dates.

55% chance

This market resolves to Yes if 'Grand Theft Auto 6' is officially released on November 19, 2026, as stated by Take-Two. This will be verified through Rockstar Games' official announcement or upon availability in major game retailers.

Ends Nov 19

Automated predictive market for Tech sector.

50% chance

This market resolves to Yes if NICE (National Institute for Health and Care Excellence) approves funding for the new Alzheimer's treatment by November 30, 2026. The decision must be officially announced by NICE and reported in at least one major healthcare news outlet.

55% chance
H
Hallmark 25 Years Countdown to Christmas Event30%
D
Disney+'s The Artful Dodger Season 325%
G
Gorillaz Museum Exhibit in NYC20%
A
Anthrax's New Album Release15%
Other10%
5 outcomes

This market resolves to Yes if the movie 'Ebenezer', starring Johnny Depp as Ebenezer Scrooge, has its official theatrical release or is made available for streaming to the general public by December 1, 2026.

Ends Dec 1
B
Blade Runner 2099 (Prime Video)45%
N
Neuromancer (Apple TV+)35%
M
Matchbox The Movie (Apple TV+)15%
Other5%
4 outcomes

Will GTA VI be released before Holiday 2026?

50%chance 11 today
Ends Dec 25

This market resolves to Yes if TVS Motor Company publicly announces that it has reached 6 million global sales of the TVS HLX series by December 31, 2026. The announcement must come from an official source such as a press release or company earnings call.

55% chance

Will Carbon Capture tech receive >$10B funding in 2026?

50%chance 12 today
Ends Dec 31
50% chance

Will Taylor Swift announce a new album in 2026?

50%chance 6 today
Ends Dec 31

Showing 193-216 of 711 markets