Ravioli, Prediction Markets & Debates

This market resolves to Yes if the Federal Reserve announces an interest rate cut any time before or during Q3 2026. The official announcement must be reported by a credible financial news outlet.

This market resolves to Yes if Kraken, a cryptocurrency exchange, is officially granted a full European banking license by September 30, 2026. Confirmation must be reported by an official regulatory entity, Kraken itself, or credible global news outlets. If no such confirmation is available by the close date, the market resolves to No.

This market resolves to Yes if Donald Trump or a Trump-affiliated organization officially announces the launch of a new cryptocurrency token on or before September 30, 2026. To qualify, the announcement must be made through an official Trump Organization communication channel (e.g., press release, social media, or official website) or in a publicly available financial disclosure. The token must be distinct from any pre-existing tokens associated with Trump or his businesses, such as $TRUMP. External independent reporting is not sufficient unless corroborated by official Trump Organization communication.

Will Amazon reduce warehouse operational labor hours by at least 10% due to the new efficiency drive by September 30, 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if official reports or credible news sources confirm that Amazon has achieved a reduction of at least 10% in operational labor hours in its robotics-enabled warehouses due to the new efficiency drive focused on human movement optimization by September 30, 2026.

This market resolves to Yes if the NFL formally approves the Khosla family's purchase of the Seattle Seahawks by September 30, 2026. The resolution will rely on an official announcement from the NFL or the Seattle Seahawks confirming the approval. If there is no confirmation by the specified date, the market resolves to No.

This market resolves to Yes if Universal Health Services successfully completes the acquisition of the virtual behavioral healthcare company Talkspace by October 1, 2026, as announced in the news. The resolution will be based on official announcements confirming the acquisition’s completion.

Will the U.S. Senate approve the sanctions bill by October 1, 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if the U.S. Senate approves the sanctions bill before the end of October 1, 2026. The bill must pass with a majority vote and be documented in the official records by this date.

This market resolves to Yes if Iron Maiden officially announces a new tour by October 1, 2026, that prominently features multimedia integrations tied to Pophouse Entertainment’s recent stake in Iron Maiden's publishing, master recordings, and image rights. Such integrations could include branded concert visuals, collaborations with video games, or other Pophouse-owned media.

This market resolves to Yes if the Boston Red Sox finish with a higher position than the New York Yankees in the American League East standings at the end of the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. If the Red Sox finish in the same position or below the Yankees, the market resolves to No. Official MLB standings will be used to determine the outcome.

Will Jeanine Pirro resign as U.S. Attorney for the District of Columbia by October 1, 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if Jeanine Pirro resigns from her position as U.S. Attorney for the District of Columbia on or before October 1, 2026. If she remains in her position past this date, the market resolves to No.

This market resolves to Yes if the L.A. Metro Monthly Safety Tracker, launched to provide safety data across the Metro system, reports a 10% or greater decrease in incidents, compared to the March 2026 data, by its September 2026 report.

Will Netflix surpass 100 billion hours of viewing in the first nine months of 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if Netflix reports viewing hours exceeding 100 billion for the period January 1, 2026, through September 30, 2026, in their Q3 2026 earnings report. Official Netflix announcements or financial filings will be used to resolve this market.