Ravioli, Prediction Markets & Debates

Will the Detroit Lions' first-round pick Blake Miller start in their first 2026 regular-season game?

This market resolves to Yes if Blake Miller, selected by the Detroit Lions in the first round of the 2026 NFL Draft, starts in their first regular-season game of the 2026 NFL season.

Will Apple's iPhone 18 Pro feature a redesigned Dynamic Island by September 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if Apple's September 2026 event, typically held for unveiling new products, reveals that the iPhone 18 Pro includes a redesign of the Dynamic Island feature as per recent leaks. Resolution will be based on official announcements or widely reported and credible tech news outlets confirming the redesign.

Will Netflix announce the use of Ben Affleck's AI startup technology in creating original content by September 15, 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if Netflix publicly announces, either through press releases, financial disclosures, or statements from executives, that it has started using technology from InterPositive (the AI startup it acquired) in developing its original content by September 15, 2026.

This market resolves to 'Yes' if the Philadelphia Phillies have a better overall record in the 2026 MLB regular season than the New York Mets, as determined by official MLB standings at the conclusion of the regular season. If both teams finish with identical records, the market resolves to 'No'. Playoff performance does not affect this market's resolution.

This market resolves to Yes if Charli XCX's self-directed film, released alongside her new album 'Music, Fashion, Film,' receives any award nomination (e.g., MTV Video Music Awards, UK Music Video Awards) by September 30, 2026. Only official nominations publicly announced by this date will be considered valid.

Will the iPhone 18 Pro sell out by September 30, 2026?

Resolves Yes if apple.com lists the iPhone 18 Pro as sold out, or quotes ship dates later than September 30, 2026 for every Pro configuration, at any point between preorders opening and this market closing.

This market resolves to Yes if Kraken, a cryptocurrency exchange, is officially granted a full European banking license by September 30, 2026. Confirmation must be reported by an official regulatory entity, Kraken itself, or credible global news outlets. If no such confirmation is available by the close date, the market resolves to No.

This market resolves to Yes if the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield exceeds 5% at any point before or on September 30, 2026. The outcome will be determined using publicly available financial data from credible sources like the U.S. Department of the Treasury.