Ravioli, Prediction Markets & Debates
Active Markets
Will TikTok’s 'Mini Dramas' feature gain at least 5 Fortune 500 brand partnerships by August 31, 2026?
Will there be a publicly disclosed quantum-related cryptographic breach in the US by August 31, 2026?
This market resolves to Yes if Amazon publicly announces the groundbreaking of its Dog's Head project in Southeast Austin by August 31, 2026. Official statements, press releases, or reputable media coverage will be used to determine the outcome. If no such announcement occurs by the resolution date, this market resolves to No.
This market resolves to Yes if NASA publicly announces the successful initiation of science flights for its new Earth observation missions by August 31, 2026. Relevant confirmation must come from an official NASA press release, press briefing, or updates on the official NASA.gov website.
Will the WHO's Europe Regional Office finalize and publish its new digital health strategy by August 31, 2026?
This market resolves to Yes if NASA's Artemis II mission confirms the presence of water ice on the Moon by using its lunar reconnaissance equipment, with official confirmation by NASA through their website or press release by August 31, 2026.
Will the COP17 in Mongolia lead to a new international agreement on land restoration by August 31, 2026?
This market resolves to Yes if Netflix publicly announces (via official press release, blog post, or similar) that the AI tools developed by InterPositive, the AI startup acquired by Netflix, will be used in the creation of a new original series by August 31, 2026. Announcements about films, documentaries, or non-original content will not count. The market resolves based on publicly available information.
This market resolves to Yes if Microsoft officially announces, via press release, earnings call, or a similar credible public communication, that it plans to replace both ChatGPT and Claude with China's Kimi K3 for AI-related or operational purposes by August 31, 2026. Any unofficial statements, leaks, or rumors will not determine resolution. The resolution source must be verifiable.
Will the FDA approve three or more new drug treatments following the leadership shake-up by August 31, 2026?
This market resolves to Yes if an official statement from a credible source (e.g., Chinese officials, U.S. Space Force, or a leading scientific organization) identifies the object released by the Shenlong space plane on or before August 31, 2026. The identification must include the object's purpose, function, or contents. Speculative or unverified claims will not count as resolution criteria.