Markets
Explore and trade on all active prediction markets.
This market resolves to Yes if an official announcement or release indicates that Taylor Swift collaborates on a new song with Randy Newman by September 1, 2026. Collaborations include any new track where both artists contribute either writing, singing, or producing vocals/instruments.
This market resolves to Yes if Kane Williamson, who announced his retirement from international cricket on June 14, 2026, returns to play a recognized international cricket match before or on September 1, 2026. The result will be determined based on official announcements by the New Zealand cricket board or international cricket organizing bodies.
This market resolves to Yes if Russian territorial gains in Ukraine between July 28, 2026, and September 1, 2026, are less than 10 square miles, according to publicly available reports from reputable sources such as OSINT groups or international media. Otherwise, it resolves to No.
This market resolves to Yes if the 2026 Aflac Kickoff Game between Auburn and Baylor is played on September 5, 2026, as currently scheduled. The market will resolve to No if the game is canceled, rescheduled to another date, or otherwise does not take place on September 5, 2026. Significant delays on the same day (e.g., weather delaying kickoff by a few hours) will still resolve to Yes as long as the game begins later that day.
This market resolves to Yes if San Francisco 49ers' head coach Kyle Shanahan is confirmed to be fully participating without restrictions in the team's first regular-season game of the 2026 NFL season despite his recent injuries sustained in a car crash.
This market resolves to Yes if Alfie Hewett and Gordon Reid win the wheelchair doubles title at the 2026 US Open. The US Open wheelchair doubles final is scheduled to take place on September 10, 2026. If they do not win or the tournament is canceled, the market resolves to No.
Will the Detroit Lions' first-round pick Blake Miller start in their first 2026 regular-season game?
This market resolves to Yes if Blake Miller, selected by the Detroit Lions in the first round of the 2026 NFL Draft, starts in their first regular-season game of the 2026 NFL season.
This market resolves to Yes if Apple's September 2026 event, typically held for unveiling new products, reveals that the iPhone 18 Pro includes a redesign of the Dynamic Island feature as per recent leaks. Resolution will be based on official announcements or widely reported and credible tech news outlets confirming the redesign.
This market resolves to 'Yes' if Jean Silva wins his fight against Yair Rodriguez at Noche UFC 4, scheduled to take place on September 12, 2026. If Yair Rodriguez wins or the fight ends in a draw, the market will resolve to 'No'.
This market resolves to Yes if Darline Graham is declared the winner of the South Carolina Republican special primary for the Senate seat on September 13, 2026. The resolution will be based on official primary election results.
This market resolves to Yes if Carlos Alcaraz wins at least one more Grand Slam tournament (French Open, Wimbledon, or US Open) in the year 2026 following his Australian Open victory. Official tournament results will be used to determine the outcome.
This market resolves to Yes if an official and significant diplomatic agreement between Russia and North Korea is publicly announced by either or both countries before September 15, 2026. 'Significant' is defined as any agreement related to trade, military, or an equivalent substantive issue.
This market resolves to Yes if President Trump's approval rating, according to CNN's poll, falls below 30% on any date before or on September 15, 2026. Otherwise, it resolves to No.
This market resolves to Yes if an officially operational A.I. data center is announced or launched in Visakhapatnam, Andhra Pradesh, India, by September 15, 2026. The announcement must come from a verifiable source, such as a press release, government statement, or trusted news reporting. If no announcement occurs by this date, the market resolves to No.
This market resolves to Yes if Netflix publicly announces, either through press releases, financial disclosures, or statements from executives, that it has started using technology from InterPositive (the AI startup it acquired) in developing its original content by September 15, 2026.
This market resolves to Yes if the Wisconsin Department of Justice announces by September 15, 2026, that it will press charges against any police officers involved in the fatal shooting of Corey Ruiz. Public statements from the department or verified news reports will determine the resolution.
This market resolves to Yes if the Democratic Party officially announces its endorsement of congressional term limits by September 15, 2026. The endorsement must be confirmed through an official party statement, press release, or announcement by Democratic leadership.
This market resolves to Yes if the Federal Reserve announces an increase in the federal funds rate at the conclusion of their meeting scheduled for September 16, 2026. A Yes resolution requires an official announcement of a rate hike in the FOMC statement. The market closes prior to the release of the statement.
This market resolves to Yes if Roy Wood Jr. wins the Emmy for Outstanding Variety Special Writing at the 2026 Emmy Awards ceremony. The resolution will be based on official announcements from the Emmy Awards.
This market resolves to Yes if FilmNation Entertainment announces a new major film project by the start of the Zurich Summit on September 25, 2026. A major film project is defined as a production that is expected to have significant global distribution or major star involvement, as covered by reputable industry sources.
This market resolves to 'Yes' if the Philadelphia Phillies have a better overall record in the 2026 MLB regular season than the New York Mets, as determined by official MLB standings at the conclusion of the regular season. If both teams finish with identical records, the market resolves to 'No'. Playoff performance does not affect this market's resolution.
This market resolves to Yes if Charli XCX's self-directed film, released alongside her new album 'Music, Fashion, Film,' receives any award nomination (e.g., MTV Video Music Awards, UK Music Video Awards) by September 30, 2026. Only official nominations publicly announced by this date will be considered valid.
Resolves Yes if apple.com lists the iPhone 18 Pro as sold out, or quotes ship dates later than September 30, 2026 for every Pro configuration, at any point between preorders opening and this market closing.
This market resolves to Yes if NASA or a NASA-affiliated source publicly announces a researched, credible scientific explanation for the honeycomb patterns photographed by the Curiosity rover on Mars by September 30, 2026. Hypotheses or speculative statements will not count; the explanation must be supported by research or analysis acknowledged as credible by NASA. The market resolves to No if no such announcement is publicly made by this date.