Markets
Explore and trade on all active prediction markets.
This market resolves to Yes if a new significant archaeological discovery, distinct from the currently known fan-shaped structure, is publicly reported to have been found beneath the East Antarctic Ice Sheet by the resolution date. The discovery must be notable enough to be covered by reputable scientific news outlets.
This market resolves to Yes if the Clarity Act, a significant piece of legislation aimed at establishing federal rules for digital assets, is signed into law by September 30, 2026. The Clarity Act must be officially enacted as law by this date, and confirmation must be verifiable through reliable sources such as government publications or major news outlets.
This market resolves to Yes if a federal cryptocurrency market structure bill is passed by both the U.S. Senate and House of Representatives and signed into law by the President by September 30, 2026. The bill must specifically address the regulatory framework for the cryptocurrency market.
This market resolves to Yes if Stanford Medicine or another reputable institution publicly confirms that the AI-discovered molecule, which mimics the effects of Ozempic without the side effects, receives approval to commence clinical trials by September 30, 2026. The resolution will be based on announcements from institutions, regulatory bodies, or credible science news sources.
This market resolves to Yes if a formal trade agreement between the United States and China is publicly confirmed by both countries before or on September 30, 2026. The agreement must involve a significant change or continuation in tariff policies and trade relations, as documented by reputable sources.
This market resolves to Yes if Kraken, a cryptocurrency exchange, is officially granted a full European banking license by September 30, 2026. Confirmation must be reported by an official regulatory entity, Kraken itself, or credible global news outlets. If no such confirmation is available by the close date, the market resolves to No.
This market resolves to Yes if ESPN publicly announces another round of layoffs specifically tied to its April 2026 NFL Network acquisition by September 30, 2026. Relevant announcements could be made through official ESPN communication channels, press releases, or credible news sources. If no such announcement is made by the closing date, the market resolves to No.
This market resolves to Yes if the NFL formally approves the Khosla family's purchase of the Seattle Seahawks by September 30, 2026. The resolution will rely on an official announcement from the NFL or the Seattle Seahawks confirming the approval. If there is no confirmation by the specified date, the market resolves to No.
This market resolves to Yes if the Supreme Court issues a ruling by September 30, 2026, allowing the Trump administration's order targeting mail-in voting to proceed. Otherwise, it resolves to No.
This market resolves to Yes if the price of Bitcoin reaches or exceeds $80,000 on any official cryptocurrency exchange by October 1, 2026, 00:00 UTC. The price verification will be based on reputable sources like CoinMarketCap or Binance pricing data. If the price does not reach or exceed $80,000 by this date, the market resolves to No.
This market resolves to Yes if the iPhone 18 Pro, announced by Apple in 2026, includes a redesign of the Dynamic Island display feature. The resolution will be based on official announcements from Apple or verified visual evidence of the iPhone 18 Pro design as presented during its launch event or via credible reports.
This market resolves to Yes if the US Congress formally proposes a national framework to regulate artificial intelligence by September 30, 2026. The proposal must be an official piece of legislation specifically addressing AI regulation, announced by either the House of Representatives or the Senate.
This market resolves to Yes if Universal Health Services successfully completes the acquisition of the virtual behavioral healthcare company Talkspace by October 1, 2026, as announced in the news. The resolution will be based on official announcements confirming the acquisition’s completion.
This market resolves to Yes if Oakland Athletics player Nick Kurtz achieves an on-base streak greater than 48 games during the 2026 Major League Baseball season. The resolution is based on official MLB statistics.
This market resolves to Yes if the U.S. Senate approves the sanctions bill before the end of October 1, 2026. The bill must pass with a majority vote and be documented in the official records by this date.
This market resolves to Yes if Iron Maiden officially announces a new tour by October 1, 2026, that prominently features multimedia integrations tied to Pophouse Entertainment’s recent stake in Iron Maiden's publishing, master recordings, and image rights. Such integrations could include branded concert visuals, collaborations with video games, or other Pophouse-owned media.
This market resolves to Yes if the Boston Red Sox finish with a higher position than the New York Yankees in the American League East standings at the end of the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. If the Red Sox finish in the same position or below the Yankees, the market resolves to No. Official MLB standings will be used to determine the outcome.
This market resolves to Yes if Jeanine Pirro resigns from her position as U.S. Attorney for the District of Columbia on or before October 1, 2026. If she remains in her position past this date, the market resolves to No.
This market resolves to Yes if Blake Lively reaches a settlement in her lawsuit against WME regarding the alleged retaliatory campaign by October 1, 2026. A Yes resolution will be confirmed if there are credible public reports or statements from either party indicating a settlement agreement.
This market resolves to Yes if the L.A. Metro Monthly Safety Tracker, launched to provide safety data across the Metro system, reports a 10% or greater decrease in incidents, compared to the March 2026 data, by its September 2026 report.
This market resolves to Yes if the minimum extent of Arctic sea ice in September 2026, as reported by the National Snow and Ice Data Center (NSIDC), is less than 4 million square kilometers. NSIDC typically publishes this data in early October.
This market resolves to Yes if Netflix reports viewing hours exceeding 100 billion for the period January 1, 2026, through September 30, 2026, in their Q3 2026 earnings report. Official Netflix announcements or financial filings will be used to resolve this market.
This market resolves to Yes if Tempus AI successfully finalizes its $1.7 billion acquisition of cancer-tech firm Personalis by October 15, 2026. Successful finalization requires an official announcement from Tempus AI, Personalis, or relevant regulators confirming the deal's closure. If the acquisition is announced as abandoned or not completed by the resolution date, this market will resolve to No.
This market resolves to Yes if Baker Mayfield signs a contract extension with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers by October 15, 2026. The market resolves to No otherwise.