Markets

Will the U.S. Congress introduce a bill for proportional representation by October 15, 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if a formal bill proposing proportional representation for the U.S. House elections is introduced in either chamber of Congress by October 15, 2026. The bill must be officially recorded in the Congressional records.

This market resolves to Yes if all areas of Kaynor Tech, including the gymnasium and other affected spaces, are reported as available for use by October 15, 2026. This includes spaces that were impacted by the water main breaks, such as the gymnasium and interior hallways requiring wall or flooring repairs.

This market resolves to Yes if the Cleveland Browns win at least five of their first six regular-season games in the 2026 NFL season. The results will be based on the official outcomes of these games as recorded by the NFL.

This market resolves to Yes if Magomed Ankalaev faces Paulo Costa in a scheduled bout at UFC 333, taking place on October 24, 2026, in Abu Dhabi. The market will resolve based on the official UFC fight card announcement or any official UFC communication confirming the matchup.

This market resolves to Yes if LeBron James participates in the Philadelphia 76ers' first regular season game of the 2026-27 NBA season. Participation is defined as taking the court during the game. If he does not play due to injury, rest, or any other reason, the market resolves to No.

Will Alphabet report over 75% year-over-year growth in Google Cloud revenue for Q3 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if Alphabet (Google's parent company) reports that its year-over-year revenue growth for Google Cloud in Q3 2026 exceeds 75% in its Q3 earnings report. The resolution will be based on official financial results released by Alphabet.

This market resolves to Yes if John Bolton is sentenced on October 28, 2026, and does not receive any prison time as part of his plea agreement. If the court imposes any sentence involving incarceration, this market resolves to No. Evidence will be based on official court records and verified public reporting.

Will Alphabet return to positive cash flow by the end of Q3 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if Alphabet reports positive cash flow for Q3 2026 in its earnings release. Alphabet experienced its first-ever negative cash flow in a recent quarter due to increased spending on AI and cloud technologies. The result will be determined when Alphabet releases its Q3 2026 earnings, typically in late October.

This market resolves to Yes if the Trump administration officially announces a major policy reversal regarding federal hiring practices, such as reinstating the pre-2025 federal workforce levels, by October 2026. A major policy reversal is defined as a formal announcement covered by at least two major reputable news organizations where the administration commits to restoring or exceeding the federal staffing levels that were in place before the reductions under Elon Musk's Department of Government Efficiency allies.

Will a mail-in voting restriction be blocked by U.S. courts by October 31, 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if any U.S. court issues a final ruling blocking the Trump administration's executive order aimed at cracking down on mail-in voting. The resolution will be based on official court announcements or trusted news sources confirming such a decision by October 31, 2026.

This market resolves to Yes if the anime 'The World’s Strongest Witch' officially premieres by October 31, 2026. The premiere date will be confirmed through an official announcement from the anime's production company or a reputable media source.

This market resolves to Yes if an official announcement is made by any reputable media outlet or their official channels confirming that Bella Hadid, Harry Styles, and Jennifer Lawrence are collaborating on a podcast together by October 2026.

This market resolves to Yes if any of the companies TCS, Infosys, HCLTech, Wipro, or Tech M announce an increase in their workforce (positive net hiring) during the second quarter of FY27. This will be determined based on official announcements or quarterly reports from the companies.

Will Google's Smart Glasses be available to the public by November 1, 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if Google's new Smart Glasses, announced at Google I/O 2026, are officially available for purchase by the public by November 1, 2026. Validation will be based on a public announcement from Google or availability in major retail stores.

Will Celine Dion complete her 2026 Paris residency without canceling any shows?

This market resolves to Yes if Celine Dion completes her announced five-week residency in Paris in the fall of 2026 without canceling any of the scheduled concerts due to health issues or any other reasons.

Will Iran and Oman finalize a deal on the Strait of Hormuz by November 1, 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if Iran and Oman publicly announce a finalized deal regarding the Strait of Hormuz by November 1, 2026. The market resolves to No if no such announcement is made by this date.

This market resolves to Yes if the Baltimore Ravens successfully trade for Maxx Crosby from the Las Vegas Raiders before the official 2026 NFL trade deadline. Trades and acquisitions must be publicly confirmed by both the Ravens and the Raiders, and recognized by the NFL by the close of the trade deadline.

Will Troy Jackson win the Maine U.S. House seat in the 2026 midterms?

This market resolves to Yes if Troy Jackson, the former Maine Senate President and Democratic nominee, wins the Maine U.S. House seat in the 2026 midterm elections. The result will be based on official election outcomes as announced by state or federal election officials.

This market resolves to Yes if Susan Collins wins the U.S. Senate seat representing Maine in the 2026 elections, as officially confirmed by the state of Maine. The market resolves to No if any other candidate is declared the winner or if she withdraws before the election.

This market resolves to Yes if Melissa Bean wins the general election for Illinois' 8th Congressional District in November 2026. The resolution will be based on the official election results published by the state of Illinois.

This market resolves to Yes if the Republican Party retains a majority in the U.S. Senate following the November 2026 elections, as publicly confirmed by at least two credible sources such as major news outlets (e.g., Associated Press, CNN, or BBC).

This market resolves to Yes if the Democratic Party wins a majority of seats in the Wisconsin State Senate as a result of the 2026 election. Official election results will confirm the resolution.