Markets
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This market resolves to Yes if all companies referred to as the 'Magnificent Seven' (Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, Google, Meta, Nvidia, and Tesla) report earnings growth that outpaces the percentage growth of the S&P 500 index during their respective Q3 2026 earnings releases. The determination will rely on the reported earnings growth percentages (year-over-year) compared directly to the S&P 500 earnings growth percentage for Q3 2026, as published by financial sources such as Bloomberg, Reuters, or other widely trusted market data outlets by the close of the last Magnificent Seven company's earnings report release.
This market resolves to Yes if the University of Maryland Eastern Shore (UMES) women's volleyball team finishes in the top 3 positions at their 2026 conference tournament. The official final standings announced at the conclusion of the tournament will be used to determine the outcome. If the conference tournament does not occur for any reason, the market will resolve to No.
This market resolves to Yes if publicly available data for September 2026 shows that discretionary spending growth for lower-income Americans surpasses that of higher-income Americans, according to a report by the Bank of America Institute or an equivalent authoritative source.
This market resolves to Yes if during COP31, which is scheduled for November 2026, a major participating country or coalition announces a new substantial climate policy specifically addressing the recent acceleration in global warming, as reported by the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research. The policy must be officially announced and publicly verified during the conference dates.
This market resolves to Yes if 'Grand Theft Auto 6' is officially released on November 19, 2026, as stated by Take-Two. This will be verified through Rockstar Games' official announcement or upon availability in major game retailers.
This market resolves to Yes if NICE (National Institute for Health and Care Excellence) approves funding for the new Alzheimer's treatment by November 30, 2026. The decision must be officially announced by NICE and reported in at least one major healthcare news outlet.
This market resolves to Yes if, by November 2026, there is a verifiable report from a reputable source confirming that the increased big tech fee introduced by Australia has resulted in increased funding for local news outlets.
This market resolves to Yes if the Protect College Sports Act is officially passed by the U.S. Senate by November 30, 2026. The passage must be publicly confirmed through reliable sources such as official government announcements or major news outlets.
This market resolves to Yes if Terminal Autonomy announces the reopening of their drone factory in Kyiv on or before November 30, 2026, following its destruction by a Russian missile.
Which upcoming 2026 pop culture event will see the highest social media engagement by the end of November?
Dec 1 @ 12:00 AM
This market resolves to Yes if the movie 'Ebenezer', starring Johnny Depp as Ebenezer Scrooge, has its official theatrical release or is made available for streaming to the general public by December 1, 2026.
This market resolves to Yes if the boxing match between Tyson Fury and Anthony Joshua takes place by December 31, 2026. The fight must be officially recognized by major boxing organizations and verified by credible sports news outlets. If the fight is canceled or does not occur by this date, the market resolves to No.
This market resolves to Yes if, by December 31, 2026, Google's 'Gemini' AI project is reported to have achieved a market share of at least 75% in AI cloud services, as verified by an industry analyst report or reliable tech publication.
Which new series premiering in 2026 will have the highest streaming viewership in its first week?
Dec 2 @ 11:59 PM
This market resolves to Yes if the Protect College Sports Act is passed by the U.S. House of Representatives during the lame-duck session of 2026, as defined by the period between the mid-term elections and the end of that Congressional session.
This market resolves to Yes if Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 is awarded Best Narrative at The Game Awards 2026. The official website and announcements from The Game Awards will be used for resolution.
This market resolves to Yes if the first season of the new 'Harry Potter' series premieres on HBO by December 25, 2026, as reported by credible sources such as Variety or HBO's official announcements.
This market resolves to Yes if TVS Motor Company publicly announces that it has reached 6 million global sales of the TVS HLX series by December 31, 2026. The announcement must come from an official source such as a press release or company earnings call.
This market resolves to Yes if Google, or its parent company Alphabet, announces the acquisition of a major AI and crypto-powered insurance brokerage firm by 11:59 PM UTC on December 31, 2026. An official press release or a credible news source must confirm the acquisition for the market to resolve to Yes.