Markets
Explore and trade on all active prediction markets.
This market resolves to Yes if Dow successfully completes the announced plan to cut approximately 4,500 jobs by December 31, 2026. Verification will be based on official announcements from Dow or credible reports confirming the completion of the job cuts.
This market resolves to Yes if the US Federal Reserve does not change the interest rates in any of their meetings through December 2026. This is based on expectations from Goldman Sachs that the Fed will keep rates unchanged.
This market resolves to Yes if global spending on cloud infrastructure services exceeds $500 billion by the end of 2026, according to industry reports or reliable public financial data on cloud spending.
This market resolves to Yes if any major U.S. state government files a lawsuit against another major Big Tech company (e.g., Google, Apple, Amazon, etc.) over child safety concerns by December 31, 2026. A major state is defined as being among the top 10 by population according to the most recent census data.
This market resolves to Yes if the U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ) issues a formal antitrust complaint against the merger of Warner Bros Discovery (WBD) and Paramount by the end of December 31, 2026. The resolution is based on official announcements or documents confirming the filing of such a complaint. This market acknowledges DOJ's intensified probe as reported by multiple sources.
This market resolves to Yes if, by December 31, 2026, the European Union has officially imposed profit caps or windfall taxes on energy companies, as proposed by some European finance ministers due to surging oil and gas prices driven by the ongoing conflict in Iran.
This market resolves to Yes if by December 31, 2026, any U.S. federal or state government entity, university, or recognized research institution announces a study specifically focused on assessing the impact of restricted access to contraception on the rate of teen pregnancies.
This market resolves to Yes if the 'Harry Potter' series debut, premiering on HBO in December 2026, garners over 10 million viewers within the first week of its release according to official HBO viewership statistics.
This market resolves to Yes if the Federal Communications Commission (FCC) announces a full review of the Paramount-Warner Bros. merger involving Middle Eastern sovereign wealth funds and Tencent investments by the end of 2026. The decision must be publicly reported by credible news sources.
This market resolves to Yes if any major foreign multinational corporation, defined as being part of the Fortune Global 500 list as of 2025, publicly announces the relocation of its corporate headquarters from its original country to the United States by December 31, 2026. The announcement must be reported by a reputable news source such as Bloomberg, Reuters, or the Wall Street Journal.
This market resolves to Yes if by December 31, 2026, there is a publicly acknowledged event where Bitcoin's cryptographic security is verified as compromised by quantum computing technology.
This market resolves to Yes if by December 31, 2026, NASA's Juno mission announces the discovery of a new feature in Jupiter's atmosphere through official NASA publications or press releases. The feature must be a previously unobserved characteristic or phenomenon distinct from existing knowledge.
This market resolves to Yes if Bill Self is still serving as the head coach of the Kansas Jayhawks men's basketball team on December 31, 2026. This is based on current discussions and news about his future with the team.
This market resolves to Yes if global cloud infrastructure spending reaches or exceeds $500 billion for the entire year of 2026, according to a recognized industry report or analyst like Omdia, by the end of 2026. Given recent trends and spending patterns, this prediction accounts for an expected growth of 27% from 2025.
This market resolves to Yes if Savannah Guthrie continues to be a co-anchor of the 'Today' show without interruption through December 31, 2026. Any official announcements of her departure or a replacement prior to this date will resolve the market to No.
This market resolves to Yes if the price of 1 Bitcoin reaches $100,000 or higher at any point on or before December 31, 2026. The price will be verified using CoinMarketCap's Bitcoin price index.
This market resolves to Yes if the cryptocurrency Pepeto achieves a market capitalization of at least $50 million by December 31, 2026. The market cap will be verified using reliable cryptocurrency market data sources.
This market resolves to Yes if official data at the end of 2026 shows a decrease of more than 20% in Russia's total oil export revenues compared to 2025 figures. Data will be sourced from reputable international economic reports or Russian official statistics.
This market resolves to Yes if Bruce Springsteen's 2026 Tour ranks among the top 5 global tours by revenue according to Billboard's annual year-end report by December 31, 2026. The ranking is based on total revenue generated during the calendar year 2026.
This market resolves to Yes if the US House of Representatives passes a bill focused on reforming financial regulations related to political entities or activities, including campaign finance or lobbying, by December 31, 2026. Verification will be based on official congressional records and credible news sources.
This market resolves to Yes if the European Commission officially announces a financial penalty against X for violations related to Grok AI's functionalities, including the generation of sexually explicit images, under the Digital Services Act by December 31, 2026. The resolution is based on public announcements or official documents from the European Commission. This market resolves to No if no such fine is announced by the deadline.
This market resolves to 'Yes' if the Australian Bureau of Statistics reports two consecutive quarters of negative GDP growth in any of their reports by December 31, 2026. Otherwise, it resolves to 'No'.
This market resolves to Yes if the S&P 500 index closes at a level above 7,000 on the last trading day of 2026. It uses the official closing value published by the New York Stock Exchange for December 31, 2026. If December 31 is not a trading day, the resolution will use the closing value of the next trading day.
This market resolves to Yes if there is an official settlement or resolution of the lawsuit filed by the sex worker against Netflix and 50 Cent over alleged editing in the Diddy docuseries, publicly announced by December 31, 2026. If the case is dismissed without a settlement, this market resolves to No.