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Explore and trade on all active prediction markets.
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Will the EU fine X for Grok-related violations by December 2026?
Yes
50¢
No
50¢
50% chance
Will Ocean Ledger's coastal erosion model be adopted by a major global insurer by the end of 2026?
Yes
50¢
No
50¢
50% chance
Will Bitcoin's price rebound to over $100,000 by the end of 2026?
Yes
50¢
No
50¢
50% chance
Will the breakthrough pancreatic cancer therapy advance to human clinical trials by the end of 2026?
Yes
50¢
No
50¢
50% chance
Will EG Group announce a major acquisition or joint venture in the U.S. by the end of 2026?
Yes
50¢
No
50¢
50% chance
Will TikTok's new US entity face major privacy lawsuits by end of 2026?
Yes
50¢
No
50¢
50% chance
Will Apple announce a new partnership for Siri's AI by the end of 2026?
Yes
50¢
No
50¢
50% chance
Will Australia enter a recession by the end of 2026?
Yes
50¢
No
50¢
50% chance
Will the S&P 500 close above 7,000 at year-end 2026?
Yes
50¢
No
50¢
50% chance
Will 'Project Hail Mary' surpass $800 million in global box office revenue by end of 2026?
Yes
54¢
No
46¢
54% chance
Will the US Department of Health and Human Services implement new Medicare DMEPOS supplier enrollment regulations by January 1, 2027?
Yes
70¢
No
30¢
70% chance
Will the 12-tonne KitKat heist be solved by December 31, 2026?
Yes
45¢
No
55¢
45% chance
Will the price of Bitcoin drop below $50,000 by the end of 2026?
Yes
50¢
No
50¢
50% chance
Will the European Commission fine X over Grok AI violations by December 31, 2026?
Yes
50¢
No
50¢
50% chance
Will the Apple AirTag 2 be recalled by the end of 2026?
Yes
50¢
No
50¢
50% chance
Will the U.S. federalize the administration of elections by December 31, 2026?
Yes
50¢
No
50¢
50% chance
Will President Trump's proposal to nationalize elections be enacted by the end of 2026?
Yes
50¢
No
50¢
50% chance
Will LiviWell's 'Livi' device reach a retail market launch by December 31, 2026?
Yes
70¢
No
30¢
70% chance
Will Google's Gemini 3 surpass GPT-4 in benchmark tests by the end of 2026?
Yes
50¢
No
50¢
50% chance
Will Alibaba's XuanTie C950 CPU reach commercial deployment in an AI application by December 31, 2026?
Yes
70¢
No
30¢
70% chance
Will more than $300 billion be wiped off tech and AI sector stocks by the end of 2026?
Yes
51¢
No
49¢
51% chance
Will the global crypto market cap recover to $4 trillion by the end of 2026?
Yes
50¢
No
50¢
50% chance
Will Alibaba's Zhenwu 810E AI chip be used by a non-Chinese company by December 31, 2026?
Yes
52¢
No
48¢
52% chance
Will Savannah Guthrie remain co-anchor of 'Today' through December 2026?
Yes
70¢
No
30¢
70% chance
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