Markets
Explore and trade on all active prediction markets.
This market resolves to Yes if News Corporation publicly announces the completion of an acquisition of a major digital real estate company by December 31, 2026. A major digital real estate company is defined as one with annual revenues exceeding $200 million. The announcement must come from official News Corp communications, such as press releases or financial filings.
This market resolves to Yes if Instagram completely stops using the PG-13 rating reference in its posts, as per their agreement with the Motion Picture Association, by December 31, 2026. The decision will be based on an official statement from Meta or confirmation from a reliable media source.
This market resolves to Yes if Oracle publicly announces a strategic partnership specifically centered around AI development or infrastructure with a tech firm based in a Middle Eastern country by December 31, 2026. The announcement must be made through a credible and verifiable source such as Oracle's press release or a reputable news outlet.
This market resolves to Yes if Apple officially releases a MacBook Pro model with a two-stack tandem OLED display before December 31, 2026. This confirmation must come directly from Apple through a press release, official product announcement, or detailed product specifications on Apple's official website.
This market resolves to Yes if a 100-year flood event, as defined by hydrological standards, occurs in Southern Africa in 2026 and is linked to climate change factors. Verification will be based on reports from reputable sources, such as the World Meteorological Organization or peer-reviewed scientific studies.
This market resolves to Yes if Tesla announces the completion of a merger with either SpaceX or xAI by December 31, 2026. Official announcements from Tesla or regulatory filings will be used to determine the resolution of this market.
This market resolves to Yes if Oracle manages to raise a minimum of $45 billion in aggregate from debt and equity markets by December 31, 2026. Confirmation will be based on official financial statements or announcements from Oracle at the close of the fiscal year 2026. If Oracle announces that they have raised less than $45 billion by the end of 2026, the market will resolve to No. If no clear announcement is made by the closing date, and there is no verifiable third-party confirmation, the market will resolve to No.
This market resolves to Yes if Luigi Mangione is found guilty of at least one federal stalking charge related to the case involving the death of UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson by the end of December 2026. Any official court verdict or plea that acknowledges guilt for stalking at the federal level will determine the resolution.
This market resolves to Yes if verifiable reports by a major news organization confirm that references, including mention or inclusion, to individuals within the Epstein Files exceed 10 million by December 31, 2026. 'References' must be clearly documented in the context of released file information, covering any individual discussed in news sources.
This market resolves to Yes if M EVO GLOBAL ACQUISITION CORP II announces an official merger or acquisition with a company primarily involved in the critical minerals sector by December 31, 2026. The announcement must be officially confirmed through a press release or a filing with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
This market resolves to Yes if the draft law proposing restrictions on Steam and the Epic Games Store by the Ministry of Family and Social Services is officially enacted in Turkey by December 31, 2026. Verification will be based on reports from reliable news sources confirming the enactment.
This market resolves to Yes if Oracle's NetSuite AI Connector Service reports a 20% or greater increase in the number of corporate clients by December 31, 2026, as confirmed by Oracle's official financial statements or press releases.
This market resolves to Yes if by December 31, 2026, any prominent AI tool used for interpreting patient medical records becomes officially recognized as HIPAA-compliant. Verification will be based on public announcements from a recognized regulatory body or a statement from the tool developer confirming HIPAA compliance.
This market resolves to Yes if, by December 31, 2026, a publicly verified and commercially available AI-based chip is demonstrated to reduce energy consumption in data centers by 10% or more compared to conventional methods, as evidenced by reputable sources such as scientific journals, industry reports, or major news outlets.
This market resolves to Yes if the finalized 2027 US defense budget, as enacted by Congress and signed into law by the President, includes $65.8 billion allocated specifically for shipbuilding. The resolution will be based on the official budget documentation released by the US government for the fiscal year 2027.
This market resolves to Yes if MLG Oz publicly reports generating over A$30 million in annual revenue from its contracts with Gruyere Mining Company by December 31, 2026. Sources will include official financial statements, press releases, or credible business news reports.
This market resolves to Yes if a judicial review is initiated by any party involved in the rival bid for the Telegraph against the UK government's decision to allow the Daily Mail owner to proceed with the takeover by December 31, 2026. Verification will be based on official court records or credible news reports confirming such a review has been filed.
This market resolves to Yes if the Jordanian Parliament maintains the removal of the word 'Israel' from their official parliamentary minutes until December 31, 2026. Any official reversal of this decision will result in a No resolution.
This market resolves to Yes if PayPal announces an acquisition by another company on or before December 31, 2026. An acquisition is defined as a public announcement that another company has agreed to acquire PayPal, either fully or as a controlling stake. Official announcements from PayPal or the acquiring company will serve as confirmation.
This market resolves to Yes if Crypto.com receives full and unconditional approval for a national trust bank charter from U.S. regulators by December 31, 2026. Verification will be based on official announcements from Crypto.com or U.S. regulatory authorities.
This market resolves to Yes if the U.S. Treasury Department formally assumes management of the federal student loan portfolio from the Education Department by December 31, 2026. This transition was announced as a three-phase operation by the Trump administration. Official announcements or legislative records will be used to confirm the outcome.
This market resolves to Yes if the ice shelf in front of West Antarctica's 'Doomsday Glacier' disintegrates by December 31, 2026. Confirmation must come from a credible source such as a scientific journal or a major news outlet reporting on the event.
This market resolves to Yes if a method for designing carbon materials using AI at the exascale, as referenced in recent scientific developments, is implemented in a commercial product or process by December 31, 2026. Public announcements or credible reports will serve as verification for resolution.
This market resolves to Yes if the production or distribution company officially announces the cancellation of the next Fast and Furious movie due to budget concerns by the end of 2026. Any other reason for cancellation or delays does not count. Only official announcements from credible sources such as press releases or statements from the production team will be considered valid for resolution.