Ravioli, Prediction Markets & Debates

This market resolves to Yes if, by December 31, 2026, the European Union has officially imposed profit caps or windfall taxes on energy companies, as proposed by some European finance ministers due to surging oil and gas prices driven by the ongoing conflict in Iran.

This market resolves to Yes if by December 31, 2026, any U.S. federal or state government entity, university, or recognized research institution announces a study specifically focused on assessing the impact of restricted access to contraception on the rate of teen pregnancies.

Will Bitcoin's price exceed $100,000 by December 31, 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if the price of Bitcoin reaches or surpasses $100,000 on any major cryptocurrency exchange by the end of December 31, 2026. Price verification will be based on data from recognized exchanges such as Coinbase, Binance, or Kraken.

Will Bitcoin's price rebound to over $100,000 by the end of 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if the price of 1 Bitcoin reaches $100,000 or higher at any point on or before December 31, 2026. The price will be verified using CoinMarketCap's Bitcoin price index.

This market resolves to Yes if the US House of Representatives passes a bill focused on reforming financial regulations related to political entities or activities, including campaign finance or lobbying, by December 31, 2026. Verification will be based on official congressional records and credible news sources.

This market resolves to Yes if a DNA origami vaccine is officially granted FDA approval for human use on or before December 31, 2026. Any other outcome, including no approval or usage authorization by the given date, will result in a No resolution.

Will the European Commission fine X over Grok AI violations by December 31, 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if the European Commission officially announces a financial penalty against X for violations related to Grok AI's functionalities, including the generation of sexually explicit images, under the Digital Services Act by December 31, 2026. The resolution is based on public announcements or official documents from the European Commission. This market resolves to No if no such fine is announced by the deadline.

Will Bitcoin reach or exceed $100,000 by the end of 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if the price of Bitcoin (BTC) reaches or exceeds $100,000 on any recognized exchange platform at any point before or on December 31, 2026, 23:59:59 UTC. This market resolves to No if it does not reach $100,000 by that time.

Will Australia enter a recession by the end of 2026?

This market resolves to 'Yes' if the Australian Bureau of Statistics reports two consecutive quarters of negative GDP growth in any of their reports by December 31, 2026. Otherwise, it resolves to 'No'.

This market resolves to Yes if the S&P 500 index closes at a level above 7,000 on the last trading day of 2026. It uses the official closing value published by the New York Stock Exchange for December 31, 2026. If December 31 is not a trading day, the resolution will use the closing value of the next trading day.

This market resolves to Yes if Meta announces, through official corporate communication or credible media sources, that it has laid off 20% or more of its workforce by December 31, 2026. The reference point will be the workforce size reported as of December 31, 2025. If no such announcement is made by the deadline, this market resolves to No.

Will the Zapotec tomb discovery lead to a new national museum exhibition in Mexico by the end of 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if an official announcement is made by the Mexican government or relevant cultural authorities regarding a new national museum exhibition dedicated to the recently discovered Zapotec tomb and its artifacts by December 31, 2026. The exhibition must be officially scheduled or opened to the public by this date.