Ravioli, Prediction Markets & Debates

Will a major announcement about the next-gen Xbox occur by the end of 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if a major announcement from Microsoft, AMD, or an affiliated representative specifically mentioning new features, release details, or official launch plans of the next-gen Xbox console is made publicly available by December 31, 2026.

Will TeraWulf hold over 50% of its mined Bitcoin as reserves by December 31, 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if by December 31, 2026, TeraWulf has publicly reported through its official filings or press releases that over 50% of the Bitcoin mined by the company in 2026 is retained as part of its strategic reserves. This must be clearly stated in a verifiable source.

This market resolves to Yes if by December 31, 2026, human brain cells on a chip, similar to those developed by Cortical Labs, can play the game Doom with performance metrics (e.g., completion time, accuracy, strategic decision-making) that are comparable to those of average human gamers, as determined by a verified and publicly available demonstration or study.

This market resolves to Yes if Alibaba's XuanTie C950 CPU, developed on the RISC-V architecture, is commercially deployed in any AI application by December 31, 2026. Commercial deployment should be confirmed through official announcements by Alibaba or relevant industry reports.

This market resolves to Yes if Kate Middleton makes an official royal appearance wearing traditional Welsh attire by December 31, 2026. An official appearance is defined as one where Kate Middleton, as Princess of Wales, is representing the British Royal Family in an official capacity. Evidence must be from a reputable news source with photographic confirmation.

Will the United Nations impose new sanctions on China due to its Uyghur policies by the end of 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if, by December 31, 2026, the United Nations implements new sanctions on China that are officially attributed to its treatment of Uyghurs. The determination will be based on credible reports from major international news organizations and official UN announcements.

Will hospital price caps be implemented in at least three U.S. states by the end of 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if by December 31, 2026, at least three U.S. states enact legislation that implements price caps on hospital services. The resolution will be based on official state legislative records confirming the enactment of such caps.

This market resolves to Yes if any major sports league (such as the NFL, NBA, MLB, or Premier League) announces a policy requiring their finals or championship games to be broadcast on free-to-air television in addition to any paywalled streaming services by the end of 2026. The announcement must come explicitly from the league itself, not from individual broadcasters.