Ravioli, Prediction Markets & Debates

Will Alibaba's Zhenwu 810E AI chip be used by a non-Chinese company by December 31, 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if any company outside of China publicly announces the usage or deployment of Alibaba's T-Head Zhenwu 810E AI chip by December 31, 2026. The announcement must come from a reputable source or the company in question.

Will the price of Bitcoin drop below $50,000 by the end of 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if the daily closing price of Bitcoin (BTC) falls below $50,000 on any respected crypto exchange by December 31, 2026. The resolution source will be CoinGecko, CoinMarketCap, or another major exchange as necessary.

This market resolves to Yes if, by December 31, 2026, a company publicly announces and demonstrates a fully autonomous AI-driven kitchen robot capable of preparing meals without human intervention. The announcement must be verifiable by major technology or science publications.

This market resolves to Yes if any major university announces a new economics curriculum that explicitly emphasizes a pluralist approach, incorporating multiple economic theories, increased ethical considerations, historical perspectives, and applicability to real-world issues by December 31, 2026. Valid announcements must be reported by a reputable news source or official university communication.

This market resolves to Yes if the Durham Arts Council receives a single grant worth more than $500,000 by December 31, 2026. Verification will be based on official announcements or releases from Durham Arts Council and confirmed by reputable news sources.