Ravioli, Prediction Markets & Debates

Will Apple's new 'citrus' MacBook Neo outsell the previous model by December 31, 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if Apple's new 'citrus' MacBook Neo sells more units than the previous MacBook model by December 31, 2026. The data will be sourced from Apple's official sales reports and other credible publications.

This market resolves to Yes if Somoy TV publicly announces the establishment of a dedicated Climate, Environment and Nature Desk before December 31, 2026. The announcement must be verifiable through official channels, such as a press release by Somoy TV, major news publications, or an official statement on Somoy TV's website.

This market resolves to Yes if by December 31, 2026, a pilot program successfully demonstrates that behavioral health data can securely and effectively flow between providers, vocational programs, and housing authorities in the nine states selected by ASTP/ONC. The resolution will be based on an official announcement from the ASTP or relevant authorities indicating success.

Will Instagram stop referencing PG-13 ratings in posts by the end of 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if Instagram completely stops using the PG-13 rating reference in its posts, as per their agreement with the Motion Picture Association, by December 31, 2026. The decision will be based on an official statement from Meta or confirmation from a reliable media source.

Will Apple's MacBook Pro feature a two-stack tandem OLED display by the end of 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if Apple officially releases a MacBook Pro model with a two-stack tandem OLED display before December 31, 2026. This confirmation must come directly from Apple through a press release, official product announcement, or detailed product specifications on Apple's official website.

This market resolves to Yes if, by December 31, 2026, the US Congress passes and the President signs into law any new legislative measures explicitly restricting the President's war powers over military operations. The market resolves to No if no such law is enacted by the given date.

This market resolves to Yes if a 100-year flood event, as defined by hydrological standards, occurs in Southern Africa in 2026 and is linked to climate change factors. Verification will be based on reports from reputable sources, such as the World Meteorological Organization or peer-reviewed scientific studies.

Will Tesla complete a merger with SpaceX or xAI by the end of 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if Tesla announces the completion of a merger with either SpaceX or xAI by December 31, 2026. Official announcements from Tesla or regulatory filings will be used to determine the resolution of this market.

This market resolves to Yes if Luigi Mangione is found guilty of at least one federal stalking charge related to the case involving the death of UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson by the end of December 2026. Any official court verdict or plea that acknowledges guilt for stalking at the federal level will determine the resolution.

This market resolves to Yes if Silverflow publicly announces a valuation of at least $250 million by December 31, 2026. Verification must come from a credible financial news source or company press release.